78 Science&technology TheEconomistJune11th 2022
For decades, researchers had thought
myopia was mostly genetic. It runs in fam
ilies, and genomic studies have turned up
several gene variants which increase the
risk of developing the condition. There
were early hints, though, that this could
not be the whole story. A study of Inuit in
Alaska, published in 1969, found that myo
pia was virtually unknown in those mid
dleaged or older, but that rates were above
50% in older children and young adults.
Such a change is much too fast to be purely
genetic, and it had happened just as the
study participants had begun to adopt a
more settled, Westernised way of life. But
the results went against the dogma of the
day, says Dr Morgan, and were ignored.
The spike in East Asia, which occurred
as places there industrialised, was harder
to dismiss. Shortsightedness is stereotyp
ically an affliction of the bookish, and a
procession of studies has confirmed a
strong, reliable link with education. “The
more educated you are, and the higher
your grades, and the more you participate
in afterschool classes and tutorials—the
more likely you are [to be myopic]”, says Dr
Morgan. And an intriguing study on ortho
dox Jewish children in Israel, in the 1990s,
confirmed the link with long school hours.
It showed that boys—who receive inten
sive religious education in addition to the
normal curriculum—were more myopic
than their sisters, who do not.
Since there is no obvious way in which
learning sums, spelling or even the Talmud
could cause shortsightedness directly, the
assumption was that education was a
proxy for something else. One possibility
is the popular notion (raised by Johannes
Kepler, a German astronomer who himself
needed glasses, more than 400 years ago)
that myopia is linked to too much closein
work, such as reading and writing.
That theory remains popular, says Dr
Rose, but evidence for it is mixed at best.
Instead, the dominant hypothesis now is
that exposure to daylight is the main vari
able. A study of Californian children, pub
lished in 2007, found that time spent out
doorswasstronglyassociatedwitha lower
riskofmyopia.Anotherpaper,published
thefollowingyearbyDrsRoseandMorgan
andtheircolleagues,followedmorethan
4,000childreninSydneyforthreeyears
andcametoa similarconclusion.Thetype
ofactivity—sports,walking,picnics—did
notseemtomatter.Simplybeingoutdoors
was the crucial point. The researchers
crosschecked thecloseworkhypothesis
andfoundthatbeingoutsidedrasticallyre
ducedtheriskofshortsightedness,even
forchildrenthatdida lotofit.
Thistheoryfitsthedataneatly.Itex
plains whymyopia seems,likediabetes
andheartdisease,tobewhatdoctorscalla
“diseaseofaffluence”—morecommonin
richcountriesthanpoorones—sinceeco
nomic growth brings with it more educa
tion, and therefore, for children, more
time inside. It explains why rates are high
in East Asia in particular, says Dr Morgan,
since the ubiquity of private tutoring and
afterschool classes mean schoolchildren
there routinely work longer days than their
Western counterparts. Most South Korean
students, for instance, attend private tu
toring schools called hagwonsin which les
sons often stretch well into the evening.
Seeing the light
The daylightexposure theory is also bol
stered by animal studies, in which that ex
posure can be carefully controlled, and in
which dimness reliably produces short
sight. Researchers have a putative mecha
nism, too. Exposure to bright light appears
to stimulate the production of dopamine, a
neurotransmitter, in the retina. Dopamine,
in turn, seems to help regulate the rate at
which the eye grows. Too little, and the eye
grows too long to focus properly.
Human trials, too, confirm the theory.
One of the biggest, led by PeiChang Wu of
the Chang Gung University College of
Medicine, in Taiwan, was published in
- It reported results from millions of
Taiwanese primaryschool pupils who had
gone through the school system between
2001 and 2015. In 2010 the government in
stituted a programme called “TianTian
Outdoor 120”, which encouraged schools to
take pupils outside for two hours a day.
After it was implemented, rates of myopia
fell, slowly but steadily, from 49.4% in 2012
to 46.1% in 2015—reversing a decadeslong
trend of rising rates.
Exactly how much light is needed is un
clear, though Dr Morgan reckons 10,000
lux is in the right ballpark. That is about as
much as you might get in the shade on a
reasonably sunny day. (Direct sunlight in
the tropics can exceed 100,000 lux.) Levels
indoors, by contrast, rarely exceed 1,000
lux. It is technically possible to light class
rooms to 10,000 lux, notes Dr Rose. But
even with led lighting, she says, the
amount of heat produced would require
specialistairconditioning,andtheglare
mightbeenoughtomakereadingtricky.
Researchershavealsobeenworkingon
waystoslowmyopia’sprogressiononceit
hasstarted.Oneistouselowdosesofatro
pine,a poisonouschemicalfoundindead
lynightshade—thejuiceofwhichwasonce
usedbywomentodilatetheirpupils,inor
dertomakethemselveslookmoreattrac
tive. Another is specially designed “or
thok”contactlenses,whichareintended
to reshapethecornea whileworn. (The
corneaisthefront,transparentpartofthe
eye,whichdoesmostoftheworkoffocus
inglightontheretina;theeye’ssocalled
lensismainlyforfinetuning.)Thesealso
seem effective, though Dr Rose worries
aboutthesideeffectsfromgivingcontact
lensestochildren,sinceifmisusedthey
cancauseirreversiblecornealscarring.
Sophisticated pairsofspectaclesmay
help,too.In 2020 thebmjpublisheda Chi
nesetrialof“defocusincorporatedmulti
plesegments”(dims)glasses.Thelensesof
thesehavea centralzonedesignedtocor
rectthewearer’ssight,whichissurround
edbyhundredsofothersmallzonesofdif
ferentopticalpower.Theideaistoprovide
bothclearvisionthroughthecentralpart
ofthelensanddeliberatelydistortedvi
sion through the smaller zones, since
poorlyfocusedvisionisthoughttosignal
totheeyetoslowitsrateofgrowth.Wear
ingdimsglassesappearedtocuttherateof
myopicprogressionroughlyinhalf.
Eyedrops, more sunlight and clever
glassesmightbeabletopreventorslow
myopiainfuture generationsofschool
children.Butbythetimesufferersreach
adulthood, the condition is permanent.
Thismeansthatinsomecountries,a pub
lichealthproblemisalreadybakedin.For
thosewithreallyseriousmyopia,saysDr
Rose,andwhoareatthehighestriskofbad
complications,unhealthychangesinthe
eyecanstarttooccurwhenpatientsarein
their40s.“Andsomeofthosearenotinany
waytreatable.”n
Clear as daylight
Myopia, estimated prevalence at age 20, %
Source:“Theepidemicsofmyopia:Aetiology and prevention”,
byIanMorganetal.,ProgressinRetinaland Eye Research, 201
1
100
80
60
40
20
0
11200090807060501938
South Korea
Hong Kong
Singapore
Taiwan
Look out!
Prevalence of myopia and severe myopia
in school-leavers, 201 or latest available, %
Source:“Theepidemicsofmyopia: Aetiology and prevention”,
byIanMorganetal.,Progress in Retinal and Eye Research, 201
2
Ejina(China)
Singapore
Jeju(SouthKorea)
Shandong(China)
Taiwan
Guangzhou(China)
Seoul(SouthKorea)
100806040200
Myopia Severe myopia