64 2. SPECIAL AND LIMIT SOLUTIONS
FIGURE 6. A cusp forming
On the other hand, the singularity is classified as Type Ila if
sup IRml · (T - t) = oo.
Mnx[O,T)
Type Ila singularities are called 'slowly forming'. (We will explain this
terminology below.) The heuristic picture we have described motivates the
following question about the formation of slowly forming singularities.
PROBLEM 2.47. Given a compact smooth 3-manifold M^3 and a one-
parameter family of initial metrics fas : /3 E [O, 1]} such that the Ricci flow
starting at g 1 forms a Type I singularity model which is a quotient 53 /f1 of
the 3-sphere, while the Ricci flow starting at go forms a Type I singularity
model which is a quotient (5^2 x IR) /fo of the cylinder, does there exist
f3 E (0, 1) such that the flow starting at g 13 forms a Type Ila singularity?
It is expected that at any f3 E (0, 1) where there is a transition in the
singularity model, a Type Ila singularity should form.
6.2. An intuitive picture of slowly forming singularities. Be-
cause a Type Ila singularity has the property that
sup IRml · (T - t) = oo,
Mnx[O,T)
the terminology 'slowly forming' may initially seem counterintuitive. On the
contrary, it is in fact perfectly logical, as we now explain.
Let us first explore why supMnx[O,T) IRml · (T- t) is a meaningful quan-
tity for finite-time singularities. Let (Mn,g (t)) be a solution of the Ricci
flow defined on a maximal time interval a :S: t < T, and define
K (t) ~ sup IRm (x, t)I.
xEMn