- PROPERTIES OF SINGULARITY MODELS 45
THEOREM 28.24 (Existence of asymptotic shrinker). Let (Mn, g ( T)), T E[O, oo), be a r;,-solution to th e backward Ricci flow and let p E M. For any se-
quences Ti -t oo and Qi E M such that the reduced distance based at (p , 0) satisfies
the estimate£(p,O) (qi, Ti) :S Cfor some constant C independent of i (note that for any Ti such Qi exist with C = ~),
there exists a subsequence such that (Mn, Ti-^1 g (TiT), (qi, 1)) converges to a com-
plete nonfiat r;,-noncollapsed shrinking gradient Ricci so liton (M~,g 00 (T), (q 00 , 1))with nonnegative curvature operator. Moreover, if n = 3, then the curvature of
goo ( T) is bounded.R egarding the geometric properties of singularity models, some in relation to
GRS, we h ave the following questions. Recall that an a ncient solution (Mn,g(t)),t E (-oo, 0), is called Type I if there exists C < oo such that IRml (x, t) :::; 1 ~ on
M x ( -oo, -1 J. Otherwise the ancient solution is called Type II.
PROBLEM 28.25 (Singularity models which are not solitons). Does there exist
a noncompact Type I singularity model which is not a shrinker? Does there exist
a noncompact Type II singularity model which is not a steady?PROBLEM 28.26 (Can a singularity model b e Ricci flat?). Can a noncompact
singularity model be Ricci flat? Hopefully the answer is no (by Exercise 28.12 and
Lemma 28. 16 , this would imply Optimistic Conjecture 28.15).R egarding the volume growth of singularity models, note the following.EXAMPLE 28.27 (Volume growth of the Bryant soliton). The n -dimensional
Bryant soliton ( n ~ 3) satisfiesVol B (p, r) (O )
}~~ r(n+l)/2 E ' 00.On the other hand, for the cylinder sn-^1 xlR, where sn-^1 is the unit (n - 1)-sphere,
the volumes of balls grow linearly.Because of this example, qualitatively speaking, the following is the best one
can hope for.
OPTIMISTIC CONJECTURE 28.28 (Lower bound for volume growth of nonsplit-
ting singularity models). The volume growth of any n-dimensional noncompact
singularity model, provided its universal cover is not isometric to the product of JR
with an (n - 1)-dimensional solution, is at least of the order r(n+l)/^2.
The b est possible upper bound for the volume growth of singularity models is
less clear. One may start with this (compare with Theorem 27.42):
OPTIMISTIC CONJECTURE 28. 29 (Upper bound for volume growth of singu-
larity models). The volume growth of any n-dimensional noncompact singularity
model is at most of the order rn.