H Gadvice
196 | AUSTRALIAN HOUSE&GARDEN
T
hemedianpriceofa housein
Sydneyisabout$1million– and
thatwillbuyyoua modesthome
inanoutersuburb.Forthesamemoney,
youcouldbuya rusticbutrenovated
farmhouseon2hawitha poolandsea
viewinItaly,a grandmanorhouseon
12 hainFrance,orperhapsevenan 18 th
centuryBaroquecastleinRomania.
SoisAustraliathemostexpensive
countryintheworldtobuya home?
Accordingtoinvestmentbank
MorganStanley,HongKongisthe
world’smostexpensivecitybutSydney
andMelbournearenotfarbehindin
secondandfifthplace.Adelaidecomes
in 16 th,Brisbaneat 18 thandPerthis
21 st.NewYorklagsin 23 rdplace(and
mortgagepaymentsaretaxdeductible
intheUS,makingit evencheaper).The
bankbasesitsanalysisona comparison
ofpropertypricesandincome.
Housingthink-tankDemographia
ranksAustraliaasthethirdmost
unaffordablemarketafterHongKong
andNewZealandinitsannualsurvey
of 309 metropolitanareasineight
advancedeconomies.AllAustralian
citieswithmorethan1 millionpeople
arerated“severelyunaffordable”.
Inaddition,thehouseholddebt
toGDPratioinAustraliaissecond
onlytoSwitzerlandandthecostof
borrowingtobuya hometendstobe
moreexpensivethaninotherstrong
real-estatemarketssuchastheUS,
CanadaandHongKong.InJapan,
Switzerland,FinlandandGermanyfixed
mortgageratesarelessthan2 percent.
Overallcostoflivingisimproving,
however.Sydneyhasfallento 16 thplace
(-6)inThe EconomistIntelligence Unit’s
WorldwideCostofLiving 2019 survey.
Melbournehasdroppedto 22 nd(-8);
Brisbaneis 41 st(-15), Adelaide 51 st(-21)
andPerth 64 th(-18). Despitethis,both
SydneyandMelbourneremainamong
themostexpensivecitiestoliveinthe
AsiaPacificregionatsixth and eighth
placesrespectively.
Conventionalwisdomhasit that
highhomepricesinAustraliaarethe
resultofa shortageofsupply.This
assumptionischallengedbyANU
academicsAssociateProfessorBen
PhillipsandresearcherCukkooJoseph,
whoconcludedthatAustraliainfacthas
anoversupplyofhousing,sofactors
otherthansupplymustbeexaminedto
explainhousepricegrowth.Theyalso
foundthatunitdevelopmenthasledto
theoversupplybeingconcentrated in
theinnersuburbsofBrisbane,
MelbourneandSydney.
“Thereisa rangeofpotentialdrivers
forhousepricegrowth,”sayJosephand
ProfessorPhillips.“Theseinclude
investorsreceivingtaxbenefits– such
asthecombinedimpactofnegative
gearinganddiscountedcapitalgains
taxarrangements– lowinterestrates,
populationgrowth,periodsofhousing
undersupply,foreigninvestmentand
exclusionofthefamilyhomefrom
pension assets testing.”#
it’sofficial:australiais oneofthemostexpensiveplaces
in the world to buy a home, writesHarvey Grennan.
HIGH TIMES
Stuckinthemiddle
AccordingtotheOECD,Australiadoesnot
ratesobadlyafterall.Itscomparisonof
housepricestoincomeratiosplacesCanada,
PortugalandSloveniaasthemostexpensive
countriesandAustraliainthemiddleofthe
packat 16 th.Indollarterms,however,
Australia is still right up there.
Property
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