Foreign affairs 2019 09-10

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Winning the Peace in Iraq

September/October 2019 163


had ejected ž˜ž˜ from its ¿nal territorial stronghold, in Syria, in March
o‘ this year, the campaign had liberated 7.7 million people at the rela-


tively modest cost o‘ $31.2 billion. Today, Iraqi schools are open,
Baghdad’s nightlife is vibrant, and security checkpoints have been re-
moved. Last May, the country held largely free and fair nationwide
parliamentary elections. Its population is young and forward-looking,


and its government is back on its feet.
The United States has an opportunity to convert this momentum
into a long-term geopolitical gain. Unfortunately, many Americans
are so weary o‘ their country’s involvement in Iraq that they fail to


recognize the opportunity to salvage a positive outcome there that is
far better than what anyone hoped to achieve even a few years ago.
Many U.S. o”cials, meanwhile, are more focused on treating Iraq as
an arena for combating Iran. They argue that, in the aftermath o‘ ž˜ž˜’


defeat, Iraq has become an unreliable ally and even a proxy o– Tehran.
Worse, they appear willing to sacri¿ce the U.S. relationship with
Baghdad—and put at risk the relative success that Iraq has become—
in service o‘ their campaign o‘ “maximum pressure” against Iran.


This approach would be a mistake. Cutting o U.S. support right
when Baghdad has managed to achieve a modicum o‘ stability would
risk the hard-won gains o‘ recent years, especially during Operation
Inherent Resolve. And a confrontational U.S. policy toward Iraq


would fan the dying embers o‘ sectarianism at precisely the moment
when the country is emerging as a stable, nonsectarian democracy.
Worse, it would strengthen Iran’s hand in Iraq and provide ž˜ž˜ with
the chance it needs to rebuild. The only way the United States can


achieve its goals—preventing ž˜ž˜’ return and ending Iran’s destabiliz-
ing activities in Iraq—is by working through and with Baghdad.


A NEW HOPE

Iraq’s future looks brighter today than it has at any point in the past
decade. Its progress can be largely attributed to two factors: the coun-
try’s recent evolution away from Shiite-Sunni sectarianism and the
coalition’s victory over ž˜ž˜.


Iraq’s 2018 parliamentary elections marked a maturation o“ Iraq’s
democracy. These were the ¿rst elections in which sectarianism took
a back seat to issues o‘ good governance and the daily concerns o‘
Iraqis. A range o‘ parties formed cross-sectarian or nonsectarian coali-


tions to compete for votes; none o‘ them emerged dominant. Instead,

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