Robert_V._Hogg,_Joseph_W._McKean,_Allen_T._Craig

(Jacob Rumans) #1
2.5. The Correlation Coefficient 131

Example 2.5.5.To illustrate how the correlation coefficient measures the intensity
of the concentration of the probability forXandYabout a line, let these random
variables have a distribution that is uniform over the area depicted in Figure 2.5.1.
That is, the joint pdf ofXandYis


f(x, y)=

{ 1
4 ah −a+bx < y < a+bx, −h<x<h
0elsewhere.

We assume here thatb≥0, but the argument can be modified forb≤0. It is easy
to show that the pdf ofXis uniform, namely

f 1 (x)=

{∫
a+bx
−a+bx

1
4 ahdy=

1
2 h −h<x<h
0elsewhere.

The conditional mean and variance are


E(Y|x)=bx and var(Y|x)=

a^2
3

.

From the general expressions for those characteristics we know that


b=ρ

σ 2
σ 1

and

a^2
3

=σ 22 (1−ρ^2 ).

Additionally, we know thatσ^21 =h^2 /3. If we solve these three equations, we obtain
an expression for the correlation coefficient, namely


ρ=

bh

a^2 +b^2 h^2

.

Referring to Figure 2.5.1, we note


  1. Asagets small (large), the straight-line effect is more (less) intense andρis
    closer to 1 (0).

  2. Ashgets large (small), the straight-line effect is more (less) intense andρis
    closer to 1 (0).

  3. Asbgets large (small), the straight-line effect is more (less) intense andρis
    closer to 1 (0).
    Recall that in Section 2.1 we introduced the mgf for the random vector (X, Y).
    As for random variables, the joint mgf also gives explicit formulas for certain mo-
    ments. In the case of random variables of the continuous type,


∂k+mM(t 1 ,t 2 )
∂tk 1 ∂tm 2

=

∫∞

−∞

∫∞

−∞

xkymet^1 x+t^2 yf(x, y)dxdy,

so that


∂k+mM(t 1 ,t 2 )
∂tk 1 ∂tm 2





t 1 =t 2 =0

=

∫∞

−∞

∫∞

−∞

xkymf(x, y)dxdy=E(XkYm).
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