Robert_V._Hogg,_Joseph_W._McKean,_Allen_T._Craig

(Jacob Rumans) #1
8.1. Most Powerful Tests 475

Example 8.1.2.LetX′=(X 1 ,...,Xn) denote a random sample from the distri-
bution that has the pdf


f(x;θ)=
1

2 π

exp

(

(x−θ)^2
2

)
, −∞<x<∞.

It is desired to test the simple hypothesisH 0 :θ=θ′= 0 against the alternative
simple hypothesisH 1 :θ=θ′′=1. Now


L(θ′;x)
L(θ′′;x)
=

(1/


2 π)nexp

[

∑n

1

x^2 i/2

]

(1/


2 π)nexp

[

∑n

1

(xi−1)^2

/
2

]

=exp

(

∑n

1

xi+

n
2

)
.

Ifk>0, the set of all points (x 1 ,x 2 ,...,xn) such that


exp

(

∑n

1

xi+
n
2

)
≤k

is a best critical region. This inequality holds if and only if



∑n

1

xi+

n
2

≤logk

or, equivalently,
∑n

1

xi≥
n
2

−logk=c.

In this case, a best critical region is the setC={(x 1 ,x 2 ,...,xn):

∑n
1 xi≥c},
wherecis a constant that can be determined so that the size of the critical region
is a desired number α. The event


∑n
1 Xi≥c is equivalent to the eventX ≥
c/n=c 1 , for example, so the test may be based upon the statisticX.IfH 0 is
true, that is,θ=θ′=0,thenXhas a distribution that isN(0, 1 /n). Given the
significance levelα,thenumberc 1 is computed in R asc 1 =qnorm(1−α, 0 , 1 /



n);
hence,PH 0 (X≥c 1 )=α. So, if the experimental values ofX 1 ,X 2 ,...,Xnwere,
respectively,x 1 ,x 2 ,...,xn, we would computex=


∑n
1 xi/n.Ifx≥c^1 ,thesimple
hypothesisH 0 :θ=θ′= 0 would be rejected at the significance levelα;ifx<c 1 ,
the hypothesisH 0 would be accepted. The probability of rejectingH 0 whenH 0 is
true isαthe level of significance. The probability of rejectingH 0 ,whenH 0 is false,
is the value of the power of the test atθ=θ′′=1,whichis,


PH 1 (X≥c 1 )=

∫∞

c 1

1

2 π


1 /n

exp

[

(x−1)^2
2(1/n)

]
dx. (8.1.7)
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