58 Scientific American, September 2019 Graphic by Jen Christiansen
SOURCES: THE WISDOM AND/OR MADNESS OF CROWDS, BY NICKY CASE
THE MISINFORMATION AGE: HOW FALSE BELIEFS SPREAD,
BY CAILIN O’CONNOR AND JAMES OWEN WEATHERALL. YALE UNIVERSITY PRESS, 2019
Each circular or square node is a person who
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D`DåDUy ̈yDU¹ùïĀyïyàaction A (blue)
or action B (orangeËåUyïïyàÎ5yàUy ̈y
`D ́åïày ́ïy ́jĀyD§y ́D ́më¹àȹÿyàï®yj
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5yåïày ́ï¹ïy`¹ ̈¹ààyÈàyåy ́ïåïy
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action AÎïyÿD ̈ùyåàyDïyàïD ́ĈÍjïy ́
ïy ́mÿmùD ̈Èyà¹à®åaction BÎ5y ́jĀyùåy
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(greenËåïDàïåĀïD ́¹my
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ï¹D ́¹ïyàà¹ùÈÊUàm ́Ë
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ùåïàïi
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÷ĈÍ
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êêÍ
5®y®y 5®y®y
How to Read the Network
Epistemology Framework Plots
Action A
is better
Action B
is better
ĈÍ
ÀĈĈÍ
ĈÍ
÷Í`D ́`yïDï
D`ï¹ ́
åUyïïyà
éÍ`D ́`yïDï
D`ï¹ ́
åUyïïyà
How to Read the Contagion Plots
Each circular node is a person who is
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D` ̈ ́yàyÈàyåy ́ïåD`¹ ́ ́y`ï¹ ́
UyïĀyy ́ ́mÿmùD ̈åÎ
5yDùyDïïyï¹È¹ïy ́¹myå ́m`Dïyå
ïyÈyà`y ́ï¹ïDïÈyàå¹ ́Ýå`¹ ́ ́y`ï¹ ́å
Ā¹¹ ̈mDÈDàï`ù ̈DàUy ̈yÎ ́ïy
å`y ́Dà¹åUy ̈¹Ājïyïàyå¹ ̈m¹àD ́
́mÿmùD ̈ï¹ïD§y¹ ́ïyUy ̈y¹ïyà
́yU¹àåå÷ÍÊDï ̈yDåïÀ¹ùï¹ËÎ
ĈÍ
2 Í^1 ĈĈ
Í
THE CONTAGION MODEL
Contagion models treat ideas or beliefs like viruses
that spread between individuals in a social network.
5yàyDàymyày ́ïĀDĂåïDïïåÚ ́y`ï¹ ́Û`D ́
Ā¹à§Î ́å¹®y®¹my ̈åjyÿyàĂ¹ ́yĀ ̈ ̈Uy ́y`ïym
UĂD ́ ́y`ïym ́yU¹àÎ ́¹ïyàåjmyDååÈàyDm
whenever some percentage of an individual’s
neighbors become infected. Here we illustrate
ïyåyÚ`¹®È ̈yā`¹ ́ïD¹ ́åÛĀïyāD®È ̈yåĀyày
individuals take on a new belief if at least 25 percent
of their neighbors hold it. In these models, the
åïàù`ïùày¹ïy ́yïĀ¹à§Dy`ïå¹ĀmyDååÈàyDmÎ
How Network Science Maps
the Spread of Misinformation
We use network science î ̧Uxîîxßø³lxßäîD³l ̧ÿä ̧`D§` ̧³³x`î ̧³ä³øx³`xîx
beliefs and behaviors of individuals in a social network—and especially how false beliefs
can spread from person to person. Here we look at two kinds of network models that
`DÇîøßxlxßx³îÿDāä³ÿ`lxDä ̧ßUx§x
ääÇßxDlÍD`³ ̧lx³îxäx ̧lx§äßxÇßx-
sents an individual. Each edge, or connection between the nodes, represents a social tie.
NETWORK EPISTEMOLOGY
FRAMEWORK
Network epistemology models represent
situations in which people form beliefs by
gathering and sharing evidence. This sort
ofmodel applies to many cases in science.
Beliefs do not simply spread from individual
toindividual. Instead, each individual has some
degree of certainty about an idea. This prompts
them to gather evidence in support of it, and
that evidence changes their beliefs. Each
individual shares their evidence with network
́yU¹àåjĀ`D ̈å¹ ́ùy ́`yåïyàUy ̈yåÎ
BONDING AND BRIDGING:In less connected groups, ideas cannot reach all members. Sometimes too many
connections can also stop the spread of an idea. Some networks have tight-knit cliques, where even if an idea
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