The Daily Telegraph - 23.08.2019

(avery) #1

Boss’s absence creates a headache for DeepMind


D

eepMind has been hailed
as one of the greatest
British success stories of
the modern age. When
Google announced it had
bought the London-based
artificial intelligence lab in 2014 for
£400m, few people had heard of the
company or its founders, Demis
Hassabis and Mustafa Suleyman.
Today, DeepMind is supposedly on
the way to creating an “artificial general
intelligence” that will work like the
human mind does, and is believed to be
one of the most prestigious AI
companies on Earth.
But the road to success hasn’t been
easy. This week it emerged that its
enigmatic co-founder Suleyman has
been placed on leave for reasons that
remain unknown.
Suleyman led the charge to turn
DeepMind’s research into products that
could be integrated into Google’s
products, helping it to reduce its data
centre cooling bill by 40pc and
improve its Google Translate service.
A spokesman for the firm said that
Suleyman is “taking time out right now
after 10 hectic years”.
It comes after news that debts are
mounting. According to its latest
accounts, the Alphabet subsidiary saw
its losses climb 55pc to £470.2m in
2018, taking its cumulative losses to
more than £1bn. The deepening debt,
which is due to be paid back to its
parent company by October, will be
covered by Google in an arrangement
that illustrates how critical DeepMind’s
work is to the search engine.
With Suleyman on leave and the
business’s losses growing, it would
seem the pressure on DeepMind to
make money is higher than ever before.
DeepMind’s algorithms have proved to
be game changing in AI. But the latest
accounts raise a vital question: is
trouble brewing at DeepMind?
Many academics and investors have
been sanguine about DeepMind’s
ability to continue running at a loss.
Walter Price, manager at Allianz
Technology Trust, a UK-listed fund,
believes DeepMind has “no need to
make a profit” at all. “Google considers
it to be an R&D effort,” he says.
DeepMind has effectively become a
research wing of Google that the
company has been happy to pour

system in humans – proved its mettle in
2016 after sweeping away the world’s
best player of Chinese board game Go.
For Hassabis, the possibilities extend
into the medical field. But taking its AI
to new sectors will inevitably mean
more investment. Its latest accounts
showed revenues doubling to £102.8m
last year, though this has not been
sufficient to offset rising staff costs,
which, when combined with other
administrative expenses, totalled
£568.3m in 2018, up 70pc.
DeepMind’s main revenues come
from sales of its code to Alphabet,
allowing divisions such as Waymo, a
driverless car unit, to make use of its AI.
No company, even Alphabet, which has
seen its cash pile rise to $117bn (£95bn)
recently, has an unlimited resource of

money into, especially if it helps save
money elsewhere.
“It might be advantageous from a tax
basis to treat it as loss making to offset
the profits that Google is making in
Europe or the UK,” Price says.
He also points to DeepMind’s claim it
reduces the energy consumption of
Google data centres, which may “offset
the cost of the operation” at DeepMind
by making savings in other places.
Given DeepMind’s track record, the
value it offers to its parent company has
become evident as a string of
achievements helped justify the heavy
spend on its army of AI researchers.
AlphaGo, the company’s machine-
learning system that harnesses neural
networks – algorithms designed to
mimic the pathways of the nervous

Building human-like


AI is no easy task, but


with its founder on


leave the goal looks


more illusive, find


Hasan Chowdhury


and James Cook


Technology Intelligence


More activist
than
entrepreneur,
Mustafa
Suleyman’s route
to DeepMind was
far from usual.
He dropped
out of Oxford
University at 19
to help set up a
counselling
service called
the Muslim
Youth Helpline
before founding
DeepMind with

childhood friend
Demis Hassabis
a few years later.
While
Hassabis, a
childhood chess
prodigy, was
regarded as the
academic
figurehead of
DeepMind,
Suleyman was in
charge of
finding
real-world uses
for its
technology. He

was involved in
one of
DeepMind’s
flagship health
projects, the
Streams app,
developed with
London’s Royal
Free Hospital.
Two years ago,
the deal was
found to have
transferred
patient data
illegally.
Suleyman
handled the

fallout. It is not
clear what has
triggered his
leave of absence,
which
DeepMind says
was mutually
agreed and
will see him
return before
the end of the
year. “Mustafa’s
taking some
time out right
now after 10
hectic years,” a
spokesman said.

Mustafa Suleyman DeepMind’s big thinker


capital. So if a day came when
DeepMind had to start making money,
what are its options?
One route to profitability could come
through its new health ventures.
Protein folding, the process by which
chains of protein building blocks fold
over each other to form 3D structures,
has become a point of obsession for
Hassabis – and for good reason.
By improving the ability to predict
the structure of a protein, researchers
can get better at developing drugs to
target proteins that misfold and end up
with an entirely different structure
from one previously seen.
Diseases such as Alzheimer’s,
Parkinson’s and Huntington’s, are
believed to be caused by the misfolding
of a protein. If scientists can get better
at predicting the structures of proteins
that cause these diseases, the more
effective drug development can be.
Turning DeepMind’s new protein
folding ability into a source of revenue
is somewhat of a mixed bag for the
time, however.
“There quite clearly are major
implications” from developments in
protein folding, says Prof Michael
Sternberg from Imperial College. But
there are alternative options to
DeepMind’s system, many of which
have been released for free online.
“What DeepMind is doing, it’s better,
but it’s not unreproducible by other
people,” he says.
The company has other healthcare
applications for its AI that could be
used to generate meaningful revenue.
Last year, its subsidiary DeepMind
Health was transferred from
DeepMind’s control to Google.
DeepMind’s “Streams” app brings
together health data into one app that
helps doctors and nurses track the
health of hospital patients.
The app has been tested at the Royal
Free Hospital in London since 2016,
and DeepMind plans to turn on the use
of AI inside Streams to help hospitals
automatically track patients.
Handing over this app to Google
made sense, says Prof Paul Leeson from
the Cardiovascular Clinical Research
Facility at the University of Oxford, as
the tech moves from DeepMind’s world
of academia to Google’s domain of
developing products.
“The technology about how you
develop an app, how you get it on to
people’s phones, this is the kind of
thing Google is very good at,” he says.
But transferring Streams to Google
doesn’t mean that DeepMind has solved
the challenge of turning its AI
algorithms into moneymaking services.
For DeepMind to begin to generate
meaningful revenue for its parent
company, it will need to demonstrate
that its tech can’t be replicated.
With one DeepMind co-founder
currently taking time away from the
company, that task is looking harder
than ever.

The Daily Telegraph Friday 23 August 2019 *** 35
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