The Wall Street Journal - 21.08.2019

(Axel Boer) #1

A14| Wednesday, August 21, 2019 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


Do Something That Works About Shootings


Regarding William McGurn’s “Guns
and the Do-Something Fallacy” (Main
Street, Aug. 13): The Journal has
been focusing on the three recent
mass shootings and the call to “do
something.”
However, there is a much bigger
issue. As of the weekend of Aug. 9-
it was reported that 47 people were
shot in Chicago, with five fatalities.
The previous weekend’s numbers for
Chicago were 46 wounded with seven
killed. For Indianapolis, where I re-
side, we average two-plus shootings
every night and the numbers for
other major U.S. cities are probably
the same proportionately to their
populations.
We need to expand the narrative
to include the everyday deadly shoot-
ing violence that occurs in addition
to mass shootings. Updating gun reg-
istration laws and tracking “white
supremacists” might reduce the mass
shootings but will do little to nothing
to reduce the daily mayhem in our
cities. Frankly, the number of people
shot or murdered in our cities
greatly surpasses the number killed
in mass shootings annually.
It is time to put forward the total
issue of gun violence in the U.S. Only
then perhaps will we be able to find
a way to make progress.
R.T.KLIMEK
Indianapolis

Mr. McGurn’s column is a great il-
lustration of the “tyranny of perfec-

tion.” Doing something, even if it
isn’t perfect, is often better than do-
ing nothing. Restricting the sale of
assault-style weapons and high-ca-
pacity magazines (along with back-
ground checks, community involve-
ment, fortifying soft targets, etc.)
won’t end gun violence, but has a
good chance of saving some lives.
Regarding the Second Amendment,
one could argue that restricting the
sales of these weapons of mass car-
nage doesn’t violate it because do-
ing so would be no different than
restricting the sale of Stinger mis-
siles and the like. Let’s “do some-
thing,” even if it isn’t perfect, and
save some lives.
MARKEVERS
Lake Oswego, Ore.

Can anyone tell me what is meant
by the term “universal background
check”? What does this include that
is not on the standard form
(ATF-4473) that is used when pur-
chasing a firearm from a federally-li-
censed firearms dealer? What is re-
ally most unfortunate is that there
are many jurisdictions that don’t re-
port felonious convictions to the Na-
tional Instant Check System data-
base, which is why last year’s Texas
church shooter was able to legally
obtain a weapon. Politicians should
do more than throw around unde-
fined terms.
JOSEPHE.DEVINE
St. Louis

LETTERS TO THE EDITOR


Letters intended for publication should
be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
or emailed to [email protected]. Please
include your city and state. All letters
are subject to editing, and unpublished
letters can be neither acknowledged nor
returned.
“I’m going to bombard you
with graphs until you agree.”

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

Medicare for All Might Change Payment Rate


Your editorial “Bernie’s Medicare
for All Bailout” (Aug. 15) is wrong
about hospital reimbursement under
Medicare for All and the real reasons
for recent hospital closures. Nowhere
in the House or Senate Medicare for
All bills does it state that Medicare
for All would reimburse hospitals at
current Medicare rates. The Senate
bill states that payment would be es-
tablished in a manner consistent with
current processes. In the House bill,
the government would directly nego-
tiate budgets with hospitals to ensure
adequate funding. It serves nobody’s
interest for hospitals to go out of
business under Medicare for All.
Medicare for All would mean guaran-
teed universal coverage. With people
finally being able to access care, hos-
pitals would remain open and rates
would increase where necessary to
ensure that is the case.
A recent study found that hospital
closures were due to states refusing
to expand Medicaid (even though
Medicaid has even lower reimburse-
ment rates than Medicare). A previ-
ous study found that hospitals were
more likely to stay open in states that

expanded Medicaid. If hospitals
around the country are staying open
because of Medicaid expansion, they
would do much better under Medi-
care for All, as it would ensure ade-
quate funding and end uncompen-
sated care, a huge challenge for
hospitals. Medicare for All would be a
lifeline for many hospitals and could
mean the reopening (or opening) of
hospitals in underserved parts of the
country. Under Medicare for All, ev-
eryone in the U.S. would have guaran-
teed access to health care, regardless
of where they live.
EAGANKEMP
Public Citizen
Washington

The percentages you quote for
Medicare reimbursement of actual
costs is far too generous. If they were
that high hospitals nationwide would
rejoice. I sit on two hospital boards
and their finance committees and dis-
cuss Medicare with senior manage-
ment every month. Our experience is
that Medicare generally pays less
than 50% of actual cost, not 90%.
That is why there is such significant
cost shifting to third-party payers,
which Democrats deny happens.
WILLIAMDOUGLASJR.
Denver

Pepper ...
And Salt

There Is a Reason Golden
State’s Rats Are Winning
Lisa Owens Viani’s assessment of
the rat control situation (“Rat Con-
trol Functions Properly in Califor-
nia,” Letters, Aug. 14) is indicative of
the “one size fits all” mentality that
is imposed on the population of the
state of California by its government.
I have lived in Sherman Oaks, a
suburb of Los Angeles, since the
1980s. We are close enough to the
Santa Monica Mountains Conser-
vancy to experience all manner of
wildlife. Over the years I have been
able to manage the level of rats gain-
ing access to our home through the
judicious use of rodenticide. The
only consequence of using it typi-
cally was a bad smell from the floor-
boards for several days. For the past
four months I have been killing more
rats in our home using old-fashioned
rat traps, as all of the 185 other
products Ms. Viani refers to are
pretty much useless. We are cur-
rently up to a rate of one rat every
two days. It is remarkable that once
the most effective tools to control
the rat population were taken away,
we encountered an infestation like
I’ve never seen before.
ARTHURWOOD
Sherman Oaks, Calif.

Germany Isn’t Even Trying
To Meet Defense Obligation
Regarding your editorial “Uncle
Trump to the Naval Rescue” (Aug. 9):
Why is it that we continue to write
that Germany “struggles to meet ba-
sic NATO commitments” when the
truth is that it refuses to struggle to
meet its international obligations? To
struggle means to make an effort.
Germany does the opposite. I think
an honest assessment is that Ger-
many “continues to renege on its ba-
sic NATO commitments,” in the se-
cure knowledge that the U.S. won’t.
THOMASDALTON
New Orleans

Unrestrained Surfer Safari
Over Rights of Others Is Bad
On the same day (Aug. 9) of your
editorial “Crime and Non-Punishment
in NYC” about the “subway surfer,”
with his long history of crimes, the
Los Angeles Times detailed the long
and violent history of the person who
had stabbed four people to death in
Orange County. Both articles should
make any sane person wonder why the
perpetrators were not in prison.
For years I have seen the increase
of crimes committed in public, with
officials powerless to stop them. There
was a reason certain crimes were de-
clared to be felonies. Many have been
reduced to misdemeanors, if violators
are prosecuted at all. Regardless of
the label, the harm is the same.
We are entering a post-legal era,
and it will not be pretty. The contract
that individuals have with the govern-
ment is that the state will protect us
and punish criminals who harm us. If
it fails to do that, individuals will re-
claim the power to defend themselves
and seek justice, something I don’t ad-
vocate at all. Government should do
its job.
DAVIDGOODWIN
Pasadena, Calif.

Italy’s ‘Hail Matteo’ Pass


I


taly’s coalition government collapsed Tues-
day, and just as well. The awkward entente
between the right-wing League and the left-
leaning 5 Star Movement has
barely functioned for most of
its 14 months in power, and if
a new election clears the way
for one to emerge more
firmly—and solely—in control,
so much the better.
League leader Matteo Salvini would be the
likely winner if there is an election. League’s
support has risen to nearly 40% in most opinion
polls, from the 18% vote share the party won in
last year’s election. This is partly due to the
party’s hard line on migration, an issue on which
Mr. Salvini has taken a leading role as Interior
Minister in the current administration. But his
economic chops also played a role in his political
ascent. The League has built a reputation as a
pro-business party, and Mr. Salvini is pitching
a corporate tax-rate cut as a centerpiece of his
plan to revive Italy’s fortunes.
That fiscal gambit is at the root of Rome’s re-
cent feuds with the European Union. The accoun-
tants in Brussels cling to largely invented eco-
nomic forecasts to resist Mr. Salvini’s desire to
experiment with tax reform. Mr. Salvini’s coali-
tion partners hurt matters with 5 Star’s grandi-
ose promises to expand welfare spending, which


is recklessness the EU should discourage.
This wrangling creates uncertainty that mar-
kets dislike. Fear of an Italian exit from the euro-
zone or the EU seems over-
blown as long as 65% of Italians
support eurozone membership
and Italians trust the EU more
than they trust their national
government, according to the
most recent Eurobarometer
poll. The main threat to political stability and the
EU now is that Brussels changes Italians’ minds
by thwarting Mr. Salvini’s reform efforts.
He faces a tough enough road to the prime
ministership. The resignation Tuesday of figure-
head Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte sets in mo-
tion a period of wrangling as 5 Star tries to save
itself by allying with some other party. But if
that effort fails, voters will get another chance
to roll the dice on Mr. Salvini.
It’s a bet Brussels should allow them to make,
whatever the EU’s fiscal rules say. An unre-
formed and miserable Italy isn’t any less of a
threat to European political and economic stabil-
ity than an Italy Mr. Salvini is trying to revive
with a tax overhaul and some policy reforms.
Call it a “Hail Matteo pass”—a long-shot effort
to win the game. Brussels mandarins owe Ital-
ians some running room to try if that’s what It-
aly’s voters choose.

If Salvini can win an


election, Brussels owes


him some running room.


Milton Friedman on CEOs


T


he mucky-mucks of the Business Round-
table are tweeting in unison how “proud”
they are to have abandoned the corpo-
rate purpose of serving shareholders for the
more politically au courant “stakeholder” model.
We wrote about it Tuesday, and the CEOs no
doubt enjoyed their smooch from Fortune maga-
zine more than they did our editorial.
The media cheerleaders seem especially
pleased that the CEOs have thrown the late,
great economist Milton Friedman over the side.
So we thought we’d reprint nearby excerpts from
Friedman’s 1970 essay, “The Social Responsibil-
ity of Business is to Increase its Profits,” from
the New York Times magazine.
The entire essay is worth reading, but two
points from the excerpts are worth stressing for
the CEOs who almost surely never read it. The
first is that Friedman never said a business
should ignore the “basic rules of the society,


both those embodied in law and those embod-
ied in ethical custom.”
The attempt to smear Friedman’s counsel as
amoral is false. His point was that profitable
businesses serve the common good better than
executives who spend money on “social respon-
sibility” but preside over business failure.
The second point is Friedman’s warning that
CEOs who put social responsibility above share-
holders will find it redounds to their detriment.
They feed the public belief that free markets
and business are “wicked and immoral” and
must be curbed by “external forces,” which typi-
cally means politicians.
Once those forces are unleashed, the arbiters
will not be the “social consciences” of “pontifi-
cating executives.” The controlling power will
be wielded by the iron fist of government.
Nearly 50 years ago, Friedman anticipated the
CEOs of the Business Roundtable.

REVIEW & OUTLOOK


OPINION


The Great Student-Loan Scam


S


ome economists are predicting a reces-
sion in the next year, but the New York
Federal Reserve’s quarterly household
debt survey last week showed
few portents. What it did show
is that more Americans are de-
faulting on their student loans,
and that government budget
gnomes have vastly underesti-
mated the future taxpayer
charge.
Defaults have fallen for most forms of con-
sumer debt as the economic expansion continues.
Mortgage delinquencies last quarter hit a historic
low. But severely delinquent student loans have
soared since 2012 and are now 35% of “severe de-
rogatories”—more than credit cards (23%), auto
loans (21%) and mortgages (11%).
About 10% of the $1.5 trillion federal student-
loan portfolio is 30 days or more past due. An-
other 20% is in deferment or forbearance, and
about 30% is in income-based repayment plans
that allow most borrowers to cap monthly pay-
ments at 10% of discretionary income and dis-
charge the remaining balance after 20 years or
10 for folks in “public service.”
Congress created these nifty plans in 2012 for
new borrowers, but then the Obama Administra-
tion expanded them retroactively to reduce de-
faults, buy off millen-
nial voters and disguise
the cost of its student-
loan takeover. This may
be the biggest account-
ing fraud in history.
iii
Democrats in the
1990s created a public
student-loan option to
compete with subsi-
dized private lenders.
Then in 2010 they na-
tionalized the market
to help pay for Obama-
Care. The Congressio-
nal Budget Office at the
time forecast that elim-
inating private lenders
would save taxpayers
$58 billion over 10 years. This estimate was pure
fantasy, and now we’re seeing how much.
The government student-loan portfolio has
since doubled while severely delinquent loans
have spiked despite a good economy. Many bor-
rowers in income-based repayment plans aren’t
repaying principal, so their balances are grow-
ing as they accrue more interest. By 2012 a ma-
jority of new borrowers had bigger balances af-
ter two years of making payments.
Yet during the Obama years CBO scored stu-
dent loans as a government profit center by un-
derestimating the growth in income-based re-
payment plans. CBO has slowly scaled back its
10-year revenue projections for student loans
to a $31.4 billion government cost in this year’s
forecast from a $219 billion 10-year revenue
gain in 2012.
The nearby chart tells the story. Using fair-


market accounting that prevails in the private
economy, CBO now projects a $306.7 billion cost
to taxpayers over the next 10 years. The red ink
will be far worse beyond that
10-year budget window.
Another non-surprise: The
government is spending more
to administer student loans
than the Obama crowd fore-
cast. In 2010 the government
spent $800 million on “administrative costs,”
which CBO projected would increase to $1.2 bil-
lion in 2019. The government’s overhead tab
this year was $2.9 billion.
Income-based repayment plans have also
encouraged schools to raise prices and enroll
students who probably won’t earn enough to
pay off their loans. Someone with a master’s
degree in dance from New York University
shoulders on average $96,000 in debt, accord-
ing to government data. Imagine if the govern-
ment created income-based repayment plans
for mortgages.
Capping student-loan monthly payments has
also enabled more borrowing since most lenders
review a customer’s total monthly debt pay-
ments when underwriting loans. Americans who
borrow more than they can repay typically de-
fault first on student loans. Cars and homes can
be repossessed if bor-
rowers don’t make pay-
ments. Past-due credit
card bills incur late
fees and hefty interest
payments. Borrowers
who default on student
loans, on the other
hand, are encouraged
by loan servicers to en-
roll in income-based
repayment plans.
As long as borrow-
ers are making de mini-
mis monthly payments
on student loans, their
credit scores won’t be
hurt. The upshot is that
student-loan borrow-
ers collectively are
paying down a mere 1% of their balance each
year, according to a recent Bloomberg News
analysis. At this rate the U.S. Treasury’s existing
student-loan portfolio wouldn’t be repaid for
100 years.
But many loans will be written off long be-
fore then due to the Obama repayment plans.
“We are running a big experiment here: No gen-
eration before has carried student debt burdens
anything like what today’s students are carry-
ing,” former Obama higher-education adviser
James Kvaal told Bloomberg. “There will be sub-
stantial amounts of student debt that will never
be repaid.” Now he tells us, though he should
have done so in 2010.
All of this is worth keeping in mind as Demo-
crats promise to save taxpayers billions by tak-
ing over other private industries and expanding
the cradle-to-grave entitlement state.

The magnitude of


federal budget losses


is becoming clearer.


Untruth in Government Accounting
Changes in Congressional Budget Office baseline
projections for net outlays for student loans over 10
years. For example, the 2010 number is the projection
from 2010-2020 and the 2011 number is for 2011-2021.
Negative means net revenue loss, positive is gain.

Source: CBO

billion.

2010 ’12 ’14 ’16 ’





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