The Wall Street Journal - 21.08.2019

(Axel Boer) #1

B6| Wednesday, August 21, 2019 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.


American Dream, a long-delayed shopping and entertainment complex in East Rutherford, N.J., is scheduled to open on Oct. 25.

JULIO CORTEZ/ASSOCIATED PRESS

Comporta, Portugal, has at-
tracted vacationing royalty,
politicians and celebrities, but
for decades its 18-mile coast-
line has remained largely un-
developed.
Now, some international de-
velopers are aiming to capital-
ize on the area’s growing pop-
ularity by launching new
resort and residential projects.
“Demand has been building
in Comporta for the past three
to four years, but there wasn’t
the supply,” said Martim Es-
pírito Santo, whose family was
once the region’s largest land
owner. He is now a business
development director of Por-
tuguese property agency Ath-
ena Advisers.
Construction along the
coast has been limited by Eu-
ropean Union regulations in
this environmentally sensitive
region. Another barrier to de-
velopment was that, since
1955, the family that founded
Portugal’s Banco Espírito
Santo owned much of the
area’s beachfront.
The bank’s 2014 collapse
brought about a sale of the es-
tate, opening up the prospect
of Comporta’s first major new
development in decades.
A consortium that includes
Lisbon-based developer Van-
guard Properties acquired de-
velopment rights for the es-
tate last year for €158.2
million (about $175.5 million).
The group is completing plans
for two large-scale hotel and
residential golf resorts.
Vanguard in May launched
a separate €200 million resi-
dential project on 865 acres
near the village of Muda.
A 90-minute drive from Lis-
bon, Comporta is often com-
pared with the Hamptons of
the 1970s or Ibiza 20 years ago.

BYLAURALATHAM

Portuguese


Coast Area


Pulls In


Developers


beginning of the year, bringing
its market capitalization to
$4.45 billion.
By contrast, WeWork
racked up an operational loss
of $1.37 billion on $1.54 billion
in revenues in the first half of
this year, according to the IPO
filing, after spending heavily
in pursuit of growth.
IWG “is almost going in the
opposite direction to the di-
rection WeWork is going in,”
said Michael Donnelly, a stock
analyst at Investec.
IWG was founded in 1989
and went public on the Lon-

don Stock Exchange in 2000.
News reports at the time de-
picted Regus, as the company
was then called, as a disrupter
changing the way people work
amid globalization and the
rise of the tech economy.
IWG has since doubled
down on a franchising model
that it hopes will allow it to
grow quickly without having
to spend as much money. The
company in April sold its Jap-
anese locations for $387.2 mil-
lion under a franchise agree-
ment, and sold its Taiwan
locations in August under a

similar arrangement. It has
held talks with potential fran-
chisees in other countries,
people close to the company
say.
Investec’s Mr. Donnelly said
IWG’s franchising approach
would likely perform better
than WeWork during a reces-
sion because the company
isn’t on the hook for expensive
long-term lease obligations at
franchise locations.
IWG has suffered from
downturns before. After the
dot-com bubble burst, Regus
was stuck with long-term

leases and struggled to pay
rent as more companies
moved out of its spaces.
In 2003, the U.S. subsidiary
filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy.
Part of the problem, say cur-
rent and former executives,
was that it rented furnished
space to single companies un-
der flexible deals, leaving it
with big vacancies when they
moved out. IWG has since
made efforts to avoid leasing
entire locations to single
firms, say people close to the
company.
Some analysts say that We-
Work could repeat the same
mistake. At some WeWork lo-
cations, a single company oc-
cupies most or all of the office
space. As of June 30 the com-
pany had $47.2 billion in lease
obligations, of which it guar-
anteed around $6 billion, com-
pared with a committed reve-
nue backlog of $3.95 billion.
We said in its filing that it
expects to be resilient in a
market downturn because
companies will seek out We-
Work in “search for more flex-
ible and lower cost alterna-
tives.” It cited the example of
Argentina, where it said occu-
pancy remained above break-
even levels in 2018 despite the
country’s economic crisis.

Investors and analysts are
looking at the rocky experi-
ence of a WeWork rival that
went public nearly 20 years
ago for insight into what could
lie ahead for the New York-
based co-working company.
WeWork’s parent, We Co.,
last week released papers for
its initial public offering,
which could price by next
month. Unlike Lyft Inc., Snap
Inc. and a number of other
startups that have gone public
recently, We Co. already has a
public competitor with a simi-
lar business model in IWG
PLC.
The Zug, Switzerland-based
company offers a similar busi-
ness model and has roughly
the same-sized footprint as
WeWork.
Some think that IWG’s tra-
vails during the economic
downturn in the early 2000s,
when its U.S. unit filed for
chapter 11 bankruptcy, is an
ominous sign for WeWork
when the U.S. bond market
and slowing global growth
may be signaling the possibil-
ity of a U.S. recession ahead.
WeWork has said its flexible
space model would have an
appeal during uncertain times.
The IWG comparison is also
raising questions about
whether We is worth what its
backers say: IWG has been
profitable for years and has a
market capitalization roughly
one-tenth of We’s $47 billion
private valuation, despite re-
porting big losses.
“I’m going to watch We-
Work’s numbers very carefully
and then probably be buying
them short,” said Frank Cottle,
chairman and chief executive
officer of the Alliance Business


BYKONRADPUTZIER


THE PROPERTY REPORT


Centers Group, another office-
management company. He
added that he considers IWG’s
stock “hugely” undervalued
relative to WeWork.
Like WeWork, IWG operates
furnished, serviced offices
around the globe that it rents
out to companies and individ-
uals under short-term deals
and is best known for its Re-
gus brand.
As of June 30, WeWork had
604,000 workstations, accord-
ing to its filing. IWG had
602,535. Many of IWG’s desks
are in Regus office suites that
are aesthetically a far cry from
WeWork’s more open, commu-
nal offices. But IWG has ag-
gressively expanded its co-
working subsidiary Spaces,
which offers a look that more
closely resembles a WeWork
office.
While their products and
strategy differ, “the business
models are identical,” said
John Arenas, chairman and
CEO of flexible-office company
Serendipity Labs and former
president of Regus Americas.
We usually dismisses com-
parisons to IWG or any prede-
cessor, and it did so again in
its IPO filing. “We consider
ourselves to be the pioneer of
the space-as-a-service model,
with a significant first-mover
advantage,” We wrote.
We also has suggested it is
a tech company, not an office-
services company. CEO Adam
Neumann has referred to his
company as a “physical social
network,” evoking Facebook.
WeWork has a better-known
brand and it has started to ex-
pand into education, fitness
and the rental-apartment busi-
nesses.
Yet the clearest difference
between the two firms may be
that IWG’s more measured ap-
proach to growth has kept it
profitable. The company made
an operating profit of £50.6
million ($61.5 million) on $1.59
billion in revenue. IWG’s share
price nearly doubled since the

WeWork Rival


Offers Hint


Of IPO’s Fate


Office-space disrupter


IWG lost heavily in


early 2000s following


similar business model


developing real estate in Al-
berta in the 1970s. The family
also owns Peoples Trust Co., a
Canadian financial institution,
the Community Federal Sav-
ings Bank in New York City,
and it has interests in oil and
gas exploration.
The pledge of the devel-
oper’s biggest properties sug-
gests it is confident that
American Dream mall will suc-
ceed. But it also significantly
raises the stakes for Triple
Five.
“There’s a long list of devel-
opers who have exposed their
entire family’s wealth this
way,” said Tomasz Piskorski, a
real-estate professor at Co-
lumbia Business School.
“Sometimes, it doesn’t go as
planned.”
Representatives for Triple

Five and JPMorgan Chase
Bank didn’t respond to re-
quests for comment.
Real-estate financiers said
that if lenders require addi-
tional assets as collateral, it
typically indicates that the
lenders deem the project risky
and that leasing might be
challenging.
“Lending standards for
malls have tightened in the
last five years,” said Vince Ti-
bone, an analyst at real-estate
research firm Green Street Ad-
visors.
While American Dream is a
unique project with more en-
tertainment tenants, “there’s
still risk involved, and it
doesn’t surprise me that lend-
ers want collateral in its high-
quality malls,” said Mr. Ti-
bone.

Officials from the city of
Bloomington, where Mall of
America is located, said they
were surprised to find that
their mall was pledged as col-
lateral, and later had some
calls and meetings with Triple
Five to find out more, accord-
ing to Schane Rudlang, Bloom-
ington Port Authority adminis-
trator.
“We now require a formal
notice from Triple Five” if this
were to occur again, Mr. Rud-
lang said. Mall of America
generates 10% of the tax pro-
ceeds in the city.
The total cost to complete
the American Dream project is
estimated at $2.9 billion, ac-
cording to loan documents.
The developer contributed
$548 million in equity, which
has been spent. Construction

documents show the project is
82% leased as of June 30, and
that temporary partitions and
temporary pop-up stores will
be set up in spaces that have
yet to be leased when it opens.
Apart from the construction
loan, the Wisconsin state gov-
ernment has issued $1.087 bil-
lion in bonds to facilitate the
construction of the project,
and the New Jersey Economic
Development Authority agreed
to grant the developer up to
$390 million in subsidies as
part of its Economic Redevel-
opment and Growth program.
The Public Finance Authority
in Wisconsin says it joins local
governments in financing pub-
lic-benefit projects and that it
has funded projects in 44
states. Funds from these enti-
ties are disbursed over time.

The developer of American
Dream, a mall and entertain-
ment complex outside New
York City, is so confident this
much-delayed project will suc-
ceed, it is putting ownership
of its two most high-profile
holdings at risk.
Triple Five Group , which
owns the Mall of America in
Bloomington, Minn., and West
Edmonton Mall in Canada, has
pledged 49% interest in these
two properties as collateral to
secure a $1.67 billion con-
struction loan for the East
Rutherford, N.J., project, loan
documents show.
That means if American
Dream fails and the developer
defaults on the loan, Triple
Five would have to give up
nearly half its ownership in
these malls, which the firm
has owned for decades.
The combined net worth of
the two stakes is at least $680
million, according to loan doc-
uments. JPMorgan Chase Bank
is one of the senior lenders in
the lending group, according
to the documents.
The Minnesota and Canada
malls produced over $1.75 bil-
lion in sales revenue a year,
according to loan documents.
As a private company, Triple
Five doesn’t make its total
revenue public.
American Dream Meadow-
lands is scheduled to open on
Oct. 25. The 3 million-square-
foot mall would be one of the
largest on the East Coast. The
mall is expected to bring
17,000 jobs, an American
Dream spokesman has said,
from lifeguards at a water
park to amusement-park engi-
neers and customer service.
The project, formerly called
Xanadu, was initiated in 2003
but the original developer and
a subsequent one both ran
into financial difficulties, caus-
ing them to pull out and delay
construction until Triple Five
took over in 2011.
The property developer is
controlled by Canada’s Gher-
mezian family, which started


BYESTHERFUNG


Company’s Other Malls Back Up Megaproject


The Swiss-based workplace franchiser is seen as more recession-proof than We Co. Offices operated by IWG unit Spaces in New York.

ANDREW MITCHELL FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL (2)
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