Mother Jones – July-August 2019

(Sean Pound) #1
JULY / AUGUST 2019 | MOTHER JONES 29

National Committee Chair Ed Gillespie
and advised by strategists like Karl Rove.
“He who controls redistricting can con­
trol Congress,” Rove wrote in the Wall
Street Journal at the time.
Massively aided by the Supreme
Court’s 2010 Citizens United decision
that allowed unlimited corporate polit­

ical spending, redmap raised $30 million,
including from oil, tobacco, and health
insurance companies, three times as
much as its Democratic counterpart.
Republicans hoped to flip 25 to 30 House
seats occupied by Democrats. They
ended up winning 63, plus 20 new leg­
islative chambers, giving them control of

nearly every important swing state and
the power to draw four times as many
state legislative and House districts
as Democrats. Nearly a decade later,
Republi cans still control every legisla­
tive chamber in heavily gerry mandered
states like Michigan, North Carolina,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Democrats had no comparable strat­
egy. And when the party controlled
the White House and Congress after
Obama’s 2008 victory, it paid little at­
tention to the states. By the end of
Obama’s second term, Democrats had
lost nearly 1,000 state legislative seats.
“This has been one of the big failures
of our party,” said former Virginia Gov.
Terry McAuliffe, who led the Democratic
National Committee from 2001 to 2005.
“We have not paid attention to the im­
portance of redistricting—haven’t put
the time in historically.”
“One of the great deficiencies of the
Obama operation during the eight years
he was president,” said Obama’s former
chief strategist, David Axelrod, “was that
not enough attention was paid to legisla­
tive races.” The president, consumed by
the financial crisis and the Obamacare
fight, didn’t sustain a political operation
that could combat the tea party wave
and the gop’s surgical targeting of state
races. Now, Axelrod said, this deficiency
is something Obama, a former state sen­
ator, “feels acutely, feels some respon­
sibility for, and wants to help remedy.”
McAuliffe and House Democratic
leader Nancy Pelosi convened dis­
cussions during the 2016 Democratic
Nation al Convention about creating a
group focused solely on redistricting.
The initiative took on new urgency after
Hillary Clinton lost the presidential race
even as she won the popular vote, re­
inforcing the imperative that Demo­
crats regain power at the state level.
After the election, McAuliffe, Pelosi,
and Senate Democratic leader Chuck
Schumer visited the White House to get
Obama’s blessing. “It was the president
who said, ‘I’ll bring Eric in,’” McAuliffe
recalled. Obama decided to make re­
districting reform a central focus of his
post­ presidency and tapped Holder as
his top lieutenant. Obama has hosted
fundraisers for the effort, endorsed can­
didates in races the ndrc has targeted,

WIN, LOSE, REDRAW


Republicans flipped a dozen state legislatures in 2010. Thanks in part to the electoral
maps drawn the following year, Democrats still haven’t recovered.


Does not include Nebraska’s unicameral, nonpartisan legislature
Source: National Conference of State Legislatures

Party control of state legislatures


Republican
control

Democratic
control

Divided
control
’99

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35 states

’01 ’03 ’05 ’07 ’09 ’11 ’13 ’15 ’17 ’19

In some Republican-con-
trolled states, gerryman-
dering has made it all but
impossible for Democrats
to retake assemblies, even
when they win a majority
of the statewide vote.


More votes, fewer seats


Democratic share of state
assembly votes, 2018

Republican share of state
assembly votes, 2018

Democratic share of state
assembly seats, 2019

Republican share of state
assembly seats, 2019

Michigan

52%
47%

53%
47%

North Carolina

51%
46%

54%
48%

Source: State election data, Ballotpedia

Wisconsin

53%

36%

64%

45%

Ohio

51%

38%

62%

48%
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