The Economist - USA (2020-02-22)

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TheEconomistFebruary 22nd 2020 3

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n armyofdoppelgangersisinvadingtheworld.Digitalcopies
ofaircraftengines,windturbinesandotherheavyequipment
camefirst.Nowtheelectronicghostsofsmallerandlargerthings
arejoiningtheminthevirtualrealm,fromtoothbrushesandtraf-
ficlightstoentireshopsandfactories.Evenhumanshavebegun
developing thesealteregos. InAmericatheNationalFootball
Leagueisplanningtodesignanelectronicavatarforeveryplayer.
These“digitaltwins”,asgeekstermthem,arefarmorethanrep-
licasoftheoriginal.Thinkofthemmoreasshadowsthatare,
thankstoa multitudeofsensorsandwirelessconnectivity,inti-
matelylinkedtotheirphysicalselves,andeverydayproducing
oceansofdata.If somethinghappensintherealworld,it israpidly
reflectedinthisshadowrealm.Somedigitaltwinsalreadycome
withthelawsofnatureprogrammedin.Theydoubleasa database
ofeverythingthathaseverhappenedtotheoriginal.Thismakesit
possibletolookintotheirfuture.Sportscoaches,forinstance,will
beabletorunsimulations,predictwhenanathletemightgetin-
juredandadjusttrainingroutinestoavoidproblems.
Digitaltwinsarejustonepartofa vastshiftintheworld’secon-
omy.TheypopulatewhatDavidGelernterofYaleUniversitylong
agoforecastas“mirrorworlds”:a newdimensionofhumanlife
basedonandfuelledbydata.Yearbyyear,evermorepartsofthe


physicalrealmarecomingtoberepresentedandsimulatedinthe
virtualworld—aninversionofPlato’stheorythatreal-worldob-
jectsarejustimperfectcopiesoftheirtruebeinginthespiritual
realm.Theemergenceofthesemirrorworldswillbringabouta
distincteconomy.Thisdevelopmentwillrequirenewmarkets,in-
stitutions,infrastructure,businesses andeven geopoliticalar-
rangements.Itisthepromisesandpitfallsofthenew“dataecon-
omy”whichwillbethefocusofthisspecialreport.
Mirrorworldsarenotmeremathematicalrepresentationsof
realones.Theyalsogivenewmeaningtotheadagethatknowledge
ispower.Increasingly,digitalcopiesaretakingonlivesoftheir
ownandactingonthephysicalworld.Theycanbeusedtoopti-
miseeverything,fromtheacousticsofa headsettoanentirena-
tionalrailwaynetwork.Theywillenableallsortsofartificial-intel-
ligence(ai) algorithmstorecogniseobjectsandfaces,understand
speechandevendistinguishsmells.Andtheymakepossiblenew
businessmodels:whybuyheavyequipmentifitswearandtear
canbemeasuredindetailandit canthusberentedbytheminute?
A goodplacetostartanalysinganyeconomyisbymeasuringit.
A robustmethodologyhasyettobedeveloped,butthedataecon-
omyisalreadylarge.StatisticsCanada,a governmentagency,last
yeartriedtoestimatethevalueofthecountry’sdata(itsstockplus

Mirror worlds


Special report


A deluge of data is giving rise to a new economy. Ludwig Siegele asks how it will work


The data economy


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