The Guardian - 24.07.2019

(Michael S) #1

Section:GDN 1N PaGe:7 Edition Date:190724 Edition:01 Zone: Sent at 23/7/2019 20:18 cYanmaGentaYellowbl


Wednesday 24 July 2019 The Guardian •


7

Boris Johnson will be the 20th prime
minister in Britain’s history to have
been educated at Eton College, and
the fi fth since the second world war.
The other four post-war PMs who
attended the fee-paying boarding
school were David Cameron (prime
minister from 2010-16), Alec
Douglas-Home (1963-64) , Harold
Macmillan (1957-63) and Anthony
Eden (1955-57). All were Tories.
One third of the UK’s 15 prime
ministers since 1945 have been Old
Etonians. Three other post-war
PMs went to independent schools:
Clement Attlee (Haileybury) ,
Winston Churchill (Harrow) , and
Tony Blair (Fettes).
The remainder, including Theresa
May, all went to grammar schools.
Eton College has a history of
producing prime ministers, back
to Robert Walpole in the early 18th
century, regarded as the fi rst prime
minister of Great Britain.
Other Eton-educated PMs include
William Pitt the Elder (prime
minister from 1766-68) , Arthur
Wellesley, 1st Duke of Wellington
(twice prime minister in the fi rst
half of the 19th century) , William
Gladstone (four-times PM, from
1868 to 1894 ), and Arthur Balfour
(1902-05). Press Association

Larry Elliott
Economics editor

Taxes will be cut and public
spending increased if Boris Johnson
delivers on the pledges he made
while campaigning.
In a marked reversal of the fi scal
restraint of the past nine years,
Johnson has committed himself to a
multi billion-pound programme paid
for by extra government borrowing.
The plans will be fl eshed out in
the autumn budget and a possible
three-year Treasury spending
review, should the new chancellor
choose to have one this year.
Johnson’s proposals include:


  1. Raising the threshold at which
    income tax is paid at 40% from
    £50,000 to £80,
    Only 12% of people
    in the UK earn more
    than £50,000 a year,
    so this pledge would
    help those on the
    highest incomes. Johnson believes,
    however, that it will appeal to
    aspirational voters. Some of the
    giveaway would be clawed back
    by higher national insurance
    contributions (NICs) but the net cost
    would still be £9bn a year , according
    to the Institute for Fiscal Studies.

  2. Increasing the starting point
    for paying employee’s national
    insurance contributions to £12,
    At present people pay NICs when
    they earn £166 a week and income


Spending plans


The cost of pledges so far


Trade Unions


and business


chiefs unite in


plea for a deal


Sean Farrell

Business leaders and trade unions
greeted Boris Johnson’s election as
Tory leader by urging him to avoid a
disastrous no-deal Brexit.
The Confederation of British Indus-
try said he had to secure a Brexit deal
in his fi rst 100 days as prime minister.
Johnson has pledged to leave the EU
without a deal if he cannot secure an
agreement by the 31 October deadline.
Carolyn Fairbairn, the CBI direc-
tor general, said: “On Brexit, the new
prime minister must not underesti-
mate the benefi ts of a good deal. It
will unlock new investment and con-
fi dence in factories and boardrooms
across the country.”
There were no major moves in the
currency markets on the news. The
pound, which has been under pressure
as the handover to Johnson neared, fell
slightly against the dollar at $1.244 and
edged up against the euro at €1.116.
Sterling has lost 15% of its value since

tax when they earn
£12,500. Johnson
wants to align the two
systems by raising the
NICs threshold to an
annual £12,500. This would cost
£11bn a year and take 2.4 million
people out of paying NICs altogether,
but would still off er most benefi ts to
those on higher earnings.


  1. Raise education spending to
    £5,000 for every secondary school
    pupil and £4,000 for each primary
    school pupil
    Johnson says he will
    reverse the cuts in per
    pupil spending seen
    since 2015 and ensure
    that it holds steady
    until 2022-3 during a period when
    the number of children in school
    will be rising. The bill for reversing
    the cuts is £3.5bn. Holding per pupil
    funding steady until the projected
    end of the parliament will cost a
    further £1.1bn.

  2. Employing an additional 20,
    police offi cers
    Any pledge to be tough
    on law and order tends
    to go down well with
    the Conservative party
    faithful and Johnson
    wooed them during the leadership
    race with a recruitment policy that
    will cost £1.1bn a year.

  3. Free TV licences for the over 75s
    In a deal struck in 2015, George
    Osborne handed to the BBC the


the 2016 EU referendum, and last week
hit a 27-month low against the US dol-
lar at $1.238 as fears intensifi ed about a
no-deal Brexit under Johnson.
Paul Dales, the chief UK economist
at the consultancy Capital Economics,
said that if Johnson did not soften his
stance when faced with the reality of
Brexit , the pound might fall further.
“The fi rst three months of Boris
Johnson’s tenure as prime minister
will be turbulent,” he said. “How he
deals with Brexit will probably deter-
mine whether or not he gets a second
three months.”
Frances O’Grady, the general sec-
retary of the Trades Union Congress
(TUC), said working people already
aff ected by spending cuts, low pay and
falling living standards could not bear
the impact of leaving the EU without
a deal. “Even to threaten it [no deal]
shows a reckless disregard for jobs,
rights and livelihoods, and for peace
in Northern Ireland. No prime min-
ister who truly cared about uniting

Political reaction


What they said


“Boris Johnson has won


the support of fewer than


100,000 unrepresentative


Conservative party


members by promising


tax cuts for the richest,


presenting himself as the


bankers’ best friend, and


pushing for a damaging


no-deal Brexit. But he


hasn’t won the support


of our country.”
Jeremy Corbyn, Labour leader


“Congratulations –


BorisJohnson! You have


said very clearly that


you are determined to


do a deal with Brussels



  • and you will have my


wholehearted support in


doing so. Good luck!”
Philip Hammond, chancellor


“Many congratulations to


being elected leader of the


Conservatives – we now


need to work together to


deliver a Brexit that works


for the whole UK and to


keep Jeremy Corbyn out


of government. You will


have my full support .”


Theresa May, outgoing PM


“The Conservative party


has just thrown the UK out


of the frying pan and into


the fi re. During the most


serious political crisis in


decades, a clown is set to


become prime minister.


But this is no joke .”
Liz Saville Roberts MP, Plaid Cymru


“Brexit of any kind [is]


deeply damaging to


Scotland and the rest of


the UK, but his pledge to


leave by 31 October ‘do or


die’ ... [ignores] common


sense or basic regard for


the wellbeing of the UK .”
Nicola Sturg eon, SNP leader


fi nancial responsibility
for providing free TV
licences , in return for
extra funding for the
corporation. The BBC
has said it intends to means-test this
benefi t so that only those on pension
credit get their TV licences paid
for. Johnson has said he will ensure
the decision is reversed, at a cost of
£250m a year.


  1. Raising the level at which stamp
    duty is levied
    There have been
    reports that the
    incoming prime
    minister would like
    all house sales under
    £500,000 to be exempt from stamp
    duty. The IFS says stamp duty
    on housing transactions below
    £500,000 raised £3.8bn in 2017-
    but it would expect the full cost to
    be slightly higher because some
    properties above £500,000 would
    be lowered beneath the threshold to
    avoid the tax.

  2. Nationwide superfast broadband
    coverage by 2025
    Johnson has said he
    wants the UK to have
    a complete full-fi bre
    broadband network
    by 2025, eight years
    earlier than the current government
    is planning. Industry experts say this
    is not feasible in the time available,
    given coverage is currently less than
    10%, and the cost of the pledge is
    unknown.

  3. The creation of six free ports in
    the UK
    Johnson said while on the hustings
    with Jeremy Hunt that he intended
    to create “about six” free ports.
    These are zones designated to


pay little or no tax in
an attempt to boost
economic activity. He
has given no further
details of this pledge.
The cost would depend on: whether
the benefi ts of the extra growth
exceeded the lost tax revenue;
the size and location of the free
ports; the terms under which they
operated , and whether the boost
to activity in one area came at the
expense of a neighbouring region
outside the zone.


  1. Review HS2 and build HS
    So far £4bn has
    been spent on HS2 ,
    the high-speed rail
    project designed to
    link London to cities
    in the Midlands and the north of
    England. But the projected fi nal
    cost has already risen from £32bn
    to £56bn and reports suggest it has
    now jumped to between £70bn
    and £85bn. One of Johnson’s big
    early decisions will be whether to
    scrap HS2 and spend the money on
    alternative rail infrastructure such
    as linking the big northern English
    cities through HS3. Any savings
    generated by scrapping HS2 will
    almost certainly be re cycled into
    other transport projects.

  2. Raising the national living wage
    The government
    employs one in six
    workers in the UK so it
    would be aff ected by
    Johnson’s promise to
    raise the national living wage , which
    is £8.21 an hour for those 25 and over.
    But as yet Britain’s next PM has not
    put a fi gure on the increase he has in
    mind or even whether it should rise
    by more than infl ation, so the cost of
    this pledge is also unknown.


and rebuilding Britain would take
that step.”
In March, the CBI and TUC jointly
warned of a national emergency if
Britain leaves the EU without a deal.
During his campaign for the Tory lead-
ership, Johnson said Britain would
leave on Halloween “do or die” , rais-
ing fears of a chaotic departure.
The ratings agency Moody’s warned
yesterday that Johnson’s election had
increased the chance of a no-deal
Brexit. Leaving the EU without a
deal would have “signifi cant nega-
tive credit eff ects” for Britain’s debt,
Moody’s said.
Adam Marshall, the director general
of the British Chambers of Commerce,
said Johnson had to get to grips with
the detail of Brexit fast. “Companies
need to know, in concrete terms, what
your government will do to avoid a
messy, disorderly Brexit ... which
would bring pain to communities
across the UK and disruption to our
trade around the world.”
Financial fi rms also said Johnson
must move swiftly. International
banks based in London are already
moving jobs and business out of the
UK to EU countries in preparation
for Brexit.
The Institute of Directors (IoD) and
Federation of Small Businesses (FSB)
said a no-deal Brexit would be bad for
their members and distract further
from measures needed to help busi-
ness after years of uncertainty caused
by Brexit.

Eton alumni in No 10 again
School for prime ministers

Cost
£9bn

Cost
£11bn

Cost
£1.1bn

Cost
£250m

Cost
£4.6bn

Cost
£3.8bn

Cost
Unknown

Cost
Unknown

Cost
Unknown

Cost
Unknown

▲ Frances O’Grady, head of the TUC,
criticised ‘reckless disregard for jobs’

Nicola Sturgeon: no-deal
ignores wellbeing of UK

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