Table 2.1Constraints of the System and Their Influence on the Degree of Stability of the Three Possible Systems
Multipolarity
Bipolarity
Unipolarity
The Number of Polar Powers Constituting the System
Multipolar systems will have three or more
great powers
powering in them
In bipolar systems just two superpowers
will operate
In unipolar systems just one
hyperpower
will operate
Characteristics of Each of the Polarity Models
In multipolar systems the gain of one of the key players operating in the system need not be at the expense of all the other players, or all the other
great
powers
, constituting the system
The relations among the players operating in multipolar systems are represented as a
flexible game
that
occurs among the
great powers
In bipolar systems the gain of one of the key players operating in the system must be at the expense of the other player, or the other
superpower
,
constituting the systemThe relations among the players operating in bipolar systems are represented as a
zero-sum game
held
between the two
superpowers
In unipolar systems the gain of one of the players operating in the system must be at the expense of the polar power, or the sole hyperpower
, constituting the system
The relations among the players operating in bipolar systems are represented as a one-side-loses
game on the part of the sole
hyperpower
Values of the Systemic Dependent Variable, or the Stability of Each of the Systems
Low stability, destabilized system:In multipolar systems the strengthening of one of the
great
powers
will not necessarily threaten
the
homeostasis
and will not lead to
violation of the balance of the systemMultipolar systems will
increase
the
aspiration of the
great powers
to expand.
They will go to expansionist wars irrespective of maintaining the
homeostasis
As a result of this, the
great powers
will
go to war more often than the other two system types
High stability, stable system:In bipolar systems the strengthening of one of the two
superpowers
must
endanger the
homeostasis
and may lead
to violation of the balance of the systemBipolar systems will
suppress
the
aspiration of the
superpowers
for
expansion. They will start wars primarily for maintaining the homeostasisFollowing this, the two
superpowers
will go to wars very rarely relative to the two other systems
Medium stability, partly destabilized system:In unipolar systems the strengthening of players at the expense of the
hyperpower
must
endanger the
homeostasis
and may lead to
breaking of the balance in the systemUnipolar systems will
permit
the aspiration
of the
hyperpowers
to expand. They will
start wars only in response to a risk to their leadership and for maintaining
homeostasis
Following this,
hyperpowers
will go to
more wars than bipolar systems and fewer wars than multipolar systems