When the powers will act to expand
All the time.The only variable at the state level, the lust for power inherent to the powers, causes the powers to act to expand constantly
Only under certain conditions.The sole variable at the system level, anarchy in the international system, causes the powers to act to maintain the status quo
All the time.The sole variable at the system level, anarchy in the international system, causes the powers to act to expand continuously
Only under certain conditions.The only variable at the system level, polarity of the system, affects the inherent aspiration of the powers to expand:• Bipolarity will
suppress
expansion
•
Unipolarity will
allow
it
•
Multipolarity will
increase
it
Summary
Traditional realism
is
not a systemic theory, but a theory at the state level
Defensive realism
does
not present a satisfactory explanation for the periods in which powers do not act as status quo powers, according to the theory’s expectation
Offensive realism
does not
present a satisfactory explanation for the periods in which powers do not act as revisionist powers, according to the theory’s expectation
The
international relations theory of war
provides satisfactory explanations:
A.
For the different behavior—revisionism or status quo—of those powers, in different periods
B.
For the difference in international, systemic, and intrasystemic outcomes, in the different periods
1 Offensive realism disputes defensive realism concerning the degree of power that countries are seeking. For defensive realism, the international structure provides countries a limited degree of encouragement for increasing their power. Conversely, it pushes them to maintain the existing bal
ance of power. The use of power, more than increasing it, is the main goal of countries, according to this theory. Offensive realism believes that status quo powers do not occur in international politics because the international system forms a very strong ambition for countries to achieve power by expansion at the expense of their adversaries and by acquiring advantages in cases in which the benefit exceeds the cost. The ultimate goal of coun
tries, according to offensive realism, is being the hegemon of the system. Mearsheimer,
The Tragedy of Great Power Politics
, p. 21.
2 Both traditional realism and offensive realism argue that great powers demand power constantly. The main difference between these two theories is that the first argues that countries have an inherent offensive personality, whereas the latter argues that the international system encourages the great powers to maximize their relative power because that is the optimal way of maximizing their security. According to this approach, great powers behave aggressively not because they want to do so or have multiple inherent motivations to control, but because they must seek greater power if they want to maximize their survival odds.