Introduction to Corporate Finance

(Tina Meador) #1
11: Risk and Capital Budgeting



benefit analysis should be economic impacts
and not simply financial transfers between
parties, or second round effects; all impacts
should be incremental; and should all be
directly associated with the initiative.
3 Consider non-monetised benefits and
costs. Where impacts cannot be robustly
expressed in monetary units (‘non-
monetised’), Infrastructure Australia will
nevertheless incorporate them into the
appraisal process and requests proponents
to provide supporting information on the
scale of these impacts.
4 Consider both the overall efficiency
of an initiative (the combined scale of
benefits and costs), as well as its equity
and distributional impacts. Efficiency is
determined by comparing the benefits
and costs of an initiative – it specifically
addresses the question: ‘When all the
benefits and costs are combined, will the
initiative deliver net benefits (ie benefits in
excess of costs)?’ Equity and distributional
impacts relate to who bears the benefits
and costs. Thus, to aid its decision making,
Infrastructure Australia not only requires
the benefit cost ratio as a measure of net
benefit, but also a breakdown of who
is likely to bear the benefits and costs,
and when.




5 Consider issues of risk and uncertainty.
Infrastructure Australia is fully aware that the
future cannot be predicted with certainty,
and that economic growth, individuals’
behaviour, oil prices, carbon prices and
so on may vary over time. To ensure that
the appraisal process is robust to potential
changes, Infrastructure Australia requests
a series of sensitivity tests of the demand
modelling and cost benefit analysis results.
Infrastructure Australia requires all proponents
to submit detailed appraisal information in
support of all initiatives. This should provide
complete transparency of data, assumptions,
and methodologies used; comprehensive
supporting evidence to justify assumptions,
including independent verification of demand
forecasts and costings where possible; and a
detailed picture of the results of the appraisal.

Australian Government Infrastructure Australia, Better Infrastructure
Decision-Making, pp. 24–5.
As we shall see, this range of issues to consider can
apply for any project. It is encouraging to see the
textbook recommendations for capital budgeting
being used in actual market decision-making.
Source: Australian Government Infrastructure Australia, Better
Infrastructure Decision-Making: Guidelines for making submissions to
Infrastructure Australia’s infrastructure planning process, August 2014.
http://www.infrastructureaustralia.gov.au/ priority_list/files/Reform_and_
Investment_Framework_Guidance_August_2014.pdf.
Accessed 2 May 2015. Used under Creative Commons Attribution 3.0
Australia licence (CC BY 3.0).

LEARNING OBJECTIVES


After studying this chapter, you should be able to:

understand operating leverage and
financial leverage, and the potential effect
each of them has on a company’s cost of
capital
estimate the company’s weighted average
cost of capital, both with and without
the allowed tax deductibility of interest
payments to bondholders
review the roles of breakeven analysis and
sensitivity analysis in evaluating investment
opportunities

explain how scenario analysis and
decision trees can be used to assess an
investment’s risk
describe the types of real options
and their role in valuing potential
investments
discuss the strategic aspects of capital
budgeting with regard to competition and
the role of real options in improving the
quality of decisions.

LO11.1

LO11.2

LO11.3

LO11.4

LO11.5

LO11.6
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