16: Financial Planning16 -1a SUCCESSFUL LONG-TERM PLANNING
Long-term planning requires more than paying close attention to a company’s existing markets. Even
more important is the ability to identify and prioritise new market opportunities. Successful long-term
planning means asking and answering questions such as the following:■ In what emerging markets might we have a sustainable competitive advantage?
■ How can we leverage our competitive strengths across existing markets in which we currently do not
compete?■ What threats to our current business exist, and how can we meet those threats?
■ Where in the world should we produce? Where should we sell?
■ Can we deploy resources more efficiently by exiting certain markets and using those resources
elsewhere?As the company’s senior managers develop answers to these questions, they construct a strategic plan, a
multi-year action plan for the major investments and competitive initiatives that they believe will drive
the future success of the enterprise.16 -1b THE ROLE OF FINANCE IN LONG-TERM PLANNING
Finance plays several roles in long-term planning. First, financial managers draw on a broad set of
skills to assess the likelihood that a given strategic objective can be achieved. With respect to a major new
investment proposal, their first questions should be, ‘Does this investment make sense?’ and ‘Is there
good reason to expect this proposal to generate wealth for our shareholders?’strategic plan
A multi-year action plan for
the major investments and
competitive initiatives that a
company’s senior managers
believe will drive the future
success of the enterpriseUS, EUROPEAN AND ASIAN PRO FORMA PLANS FOR 2009Source: Figures from Murillo Campello, John R. Graham, and Campbell R. Harvey, ‘The Real Effects of Financial Constraints: Evidence from the Financial Crisis,’
Journal of Financial Economics, Vol. 97 (2010), pp. 470–87.–11.4–2.3–8.3–4.3–5.3–4.6–10.8–4.0–10.6–3.3–7.7–3.8 –5.0–4.1–9.10.4–1.6–1.9–20
–10
0
10
% Change in policy variableUnited States EuropeAsiaTech spending Capital expenditures Marketing expenditures
Number of employees Cash holdings Dividend payments