199
situation increases incomes and
has a large, predictable effect on
consumption, restoring the
economy to full employment.
In 1957, Friedman published
A Theory of the Consumption
Function, an important work that
began to challenge the Keynesian
orthodoxy. Friedman argued that
people distinguish between
“permanent income”—their stable
long-term earnings, which they
feel confident to consume—and
“transitory income”, which is less
permanent, can be positive or
negative, and which does not affect
their consumption. Those with high
incomes will have high transitory ❯❯
See also: The Keynesian multiplier 164–65 ■ Inflation and unemployment
202–03 ■ Saving to spend 204–05 ■ Rational expectations 244–47
POST-WAR ECONOMICS
Money should grow at a modest, constant rate
in order to keep inflation low.
The demand for money
can be predicted by looking at
people’s behavior.
The supply of money
can be controlled by
the government.
Government spending
cannot reduce
unemployment below its
natural rate without
causing inflation.
Inflation damages
economic efficiency
and should be avoided.
Governments should do nothing but
control the money supply.
A man papers his wall with money
during the German hyperinflation of
- Friedman thought that state
intervention to reduce unemployment
inevitably led to high inflation.
Milton Friedman
Born in Brooklyn, New York,
in 1912, Milton Friedman
was the son of Hungarian
immigrants. He was taught by
the US’s top economists—at
Rutgers, New Jersey, for his
bachelor’s degree; Chicago for
his master’s; and Columbia,
New York, for his PhD. At
Chicago he met economics
student Rose Director.
They married in 1938, and
collaborated throughout their
careers. From 1935 to 1946, he
worked as a statistician and
economist in New York and
Washington. From 1946 to
1976, he taught at the
University of Chicago. It was
there that he became well-
known. His fame increased
with the 1980 TV series and
book Free to Choose. He was
an advisor to Presidents
Richard Nixon and Ronald
Reagan. He died in 2006.
Key works
1957 A Theory of the
Consumption Function
1963 A Monetary History of
the United States, 1867–1960
(with Anna Schwartz)
1967 The Role of Monetary
Policy Presidential
address to the American
Economic Association