North American Covenant Quality Indicator
Higher values indicate lower quality
Corporations in most of the world’s
largest economies loaded up on debt.
The Binge Was Global
Nonfinancial Corporate Debt
as a Share of GDP
Q3 2019
A Safety Net Frays
Desperate for allocations of debt with juicy yields, investors have let borrowers
strip away legal protections, or covenants, that were designed to safeguard
investments when the companies begin to run into trouble.
Pushed to the Edge of Junk
Over the past decade, as even the most creditworthy companies took on a lot of
debt, they increasingly sacrificed their once-pristine ratings. Before the pandemic,
about half of the U.S. investment-grade bond market was just a few steps from junk.
S&P Credit Ratings in the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate Bond Index
AAA AA A BBB BB
2011 2019
0
50
Netherlands 100%
163%
Switzerland
122
South Korea
101
U.S.
75
Tu r key
66
Saudi Arabia
45
France
155
Canada
115
Spain
95
Australia
73
Germany
59
India
44
Mexico
26
China
150
Japan
103
U.K.
82
Italy
69
Russia
46
Brazil
43
Indonesia
23
3/2011 2/2020
5.0
4.5
3.5
4.0
56 BLOOMBERG MARKETS