178 179
PERSONAL FINANCE
Wealth-building investments
THE 18-YEAR REAL-ESTATE CYCLE
The idea that ups and downs in the real-estate market
run in an 18-year cycle is based on US studies into the
property market over the last two centuries by economic
forecaster Phillip J Anderson. He demonstrated that land
sales and property construction peak on average every
18 years – 14 years up and four years down.
HOUSE PRICES
7 years 7 years 4 years
TIME (YEARS)
Property
investors buy
Rents
stabilize
Too many houses;
construction
slows; rents fall Abundance of
tradespeople as
construction
prices fall
Valuations
fall
Affordability
crisis; too hard to
get mortgage
than buyersMore sellers
No confidence in market
Rents
increase
Hardly any construction
work
Se
lle
r’
s^ m
ar
ke
t Sell
er
’s
m
ar
ke
t
❯❯Appreciation Rise in the value of a property over time.
❯❯Depreciation Fall in the value of a property over time.
❯❯Capital gain The increase in value of a property (or
other asset) from its purchase price; this can be short
term (under one year) or long term.
❯❯BRR Buying, Refurbishing, and Refinancing strategy.
NEED TO KNOW
B
uy
er
’s
m
ar
ke
t
SALEFOR SALEFOR
SALEFOR
R e c o v e
ry
(^)
S
lu
m
p
B
o
o
m
(^) S
lo
w
(^) d
o
w
n
Bu
ye
r’s
m
ar
ke
t
8.75%
annual rise in UK
house prices over
47 years between
1968 and 2015
178-179_Buying_selling_property_for_profit.indd 179 13/10/2016 16:09