The Rules of Contagion

(Greg DeLong) #1
nodular hyperplasia, non-specific colitis, and pervasive
developmental disorder in children’, The Lancet, 2010.


  1. Finnegan G., ‘Rise in vaccine hesitancy related to pursuit of
    purity’, Horizon Magazine, 26 April 2018; Larson H.J., ‘Maternal
    immunization: The new “normal” (or it should be)’, Vaccine, 2015;
    Larson H.J. et al., ‘Tracking the global spread of vaccine
    sentiments: The global response to Japan’s suspension of its
    HPV vaccine recommendation’, Human Vaccines &
    Immunotherapeutics, 2014.

  2. Background on variolation from: ‘Variolation – an overview’,
    ScienceDirect Topics, 2018.

  3. Voltaire., ‘Letter XI’ from Letters on the English. (1734).

  4. Background on Bernoulli’s work from: Dietz K. and Heesterbeek
    J.A.P., ‘Daniel Bernoulli’s epidemiological model revisited’,
    Mathematical Biosciences, 2002; Colombo C. and Diamanti M.,
    ‘The smallpox vaccine: the dispute between Bernoulli and
    d’Alembert and the calculus of probabilities’, Lettera Matematica
    International, 2015.

  5. There is a large literature on MMR and measles vaccine safety
    and efficacy, e.g. Smeeth L. et al., ‘MMR vaccination and
    pervasive developmental disorders: a case-control study’, The
    Lancet, 2004; A. Hviid, J.V. Hansen, M. Frisch, et al., ‘Measles,
    Mumps, Rubella Vaccination and Autism: A Nationwide Cohort
    Study’, Annals of Internal Medicine, 2019; LeBaron C.W. et al.,
    ‘Persistence of Measles Antibodies After 2 Doses of Measles
    Vaccine in a Postelimination Environment’, JAMA Pediatrics,
    2007.

  6. Wellcome Global Monitor 2018, 19 June 2019.

  7. Finnegan G., ‘Rise in vaccine hesitancy related to pursuit of
    purity’, Horizon Magazine, 26 April 2018.

  8. Funk S. et al., ‘Combining serological and contact data to derive
    target immunity levels for achieving and maintaining measles

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