Further reading
If you want to know more about the topics covered in this book,
additional suggestions for articles, papers and books are given
below. To ensure reproducibility, all data and code required to
generate the figures in the book are available from:
https://github.com/adamkucharski/rules-of-contagion/
Chapter 1
A trio of papers by Paul Fine has more information on the theory
of mechanistic modelling and resulting concepts like herd immunity:
‘Ross’s A Priori Pathometry – A Perspective’ (Proceedings of the
Royal Society of Medicine, 1975); ‘John Brownlee and the
measurement of infectiousness: an historical study in epidemic
theory’ (Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 1979);
‘Herd Immunity: History, Theory, Practice’ (Epidemiological Reviews,
1993). For a more technical description of Ross’s analysis and its
legacy, see David Smith and colleagues’ paper ‘Ross, Macdonald,
and a Theory for the Dynamics and Control of Mosquito-Transmitted
Pathogens’ (PLOS Pathogens, 2012).
Chapter 2
Donald MacKenzie and Taylor Spears’s paper ‘“The Formula That
Killed Wall Street”?: The Gaussian Copula and the Material Cultures
of Modelling’ (2012) provides a useful oral history of the models
behind CDOs. Liar’s Poker: Rising Through the Wreckage on Wall
Street (W. W. Norton & Company, 1989) and The Big Short: Inside
the Doomsday Machine (W. W. Norton & Company, 2010) by
Michael Lewis, written twenty years apart, explain how mortgage
trading started and the chaos it would later cause. When Genius
Failed: The Rise and Fall of Long-Term Capital Management by
Roger Lowenstein (Random House, 2000) covers the collapse of the
titular hedge fund.
Seeking the Positives: A Life Spent on the Cutting Edge of Public
Health by John Potterat (CreateSpace, 2015) gives more details of