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Chapter 8 Portfolio Theory and the Capital Asset Pricing Model 217
- APT The following table shows the sensitivity of four stocks to the three Fama–French
factors. Estimate the expected return on each stock assuming that the interest rate is 2%, the
expected risk premium on the market is 7%, the expected risk premium on the size factor is
3.5%, and the expected risk premium on the book-to-market factor is 4.8%.
Market
Return
Return on
Size Factor
Return on Book-
to-Market Factor
Interest
Rate
1999 20.6% 15.3% –34.2% 4.7%
(^2000) – 17.5 –1.5 39.5 5.9
(^2001) – 15.2 18.6 18.7 3.8
(^2002) – 22.8 3.6 10.5 1.7
2003 30.8 27.8 4.9 1.0
2004 10.7 5.1 9.8 1.2
2005 3.1 –2.3 9.1 3.0
2006 10.6 0.3 14.3 4.8
2007 1.1 –8.1 –12.2 4.7
2008 – 38.4 3.8 1.0 1.6
Boeing Campbell Soup Dow Chemical Apple
Market 1.13 0.51 1.51 1.08
Size –0.49 –0.60 0.28 –0.57
Book-to-market –0.05 0.25 0.13 –0.074
CHALLENGE
- Fund Performance Between 1999 and 2008, the returns on Microfund averaged 4% a year.
In his 2008 discussion of performance, the fund president noted that this was nearly 6% a
year better than the return on the U.S. market, a result that he attributed to the fund’s strategy
of buying only stocks with outstanding management.
The following table shows the returns on the market, the size and book-to-market factors,
and the interest rate during this period:
The fund had marketed itself as a way to invest in small and medium-sized stocks, and this
was reflected in a beta relative to the size factor of 1.1. It had also traditionally adopted a
conservative approach to risk with an estimated market beta of .7. The fund’s beta relative
to the book-to-market factor was –.2. Evaluate the performance of the fund during this
period.
- Minimum-risk portfolio In footnote 4 we noted that the minimum-risk portfolio con-
tained an investment of 90.2% in Johnson & Johnson and 9.8% in Ford. Prove it. (Hint: Yo u
need a little calculus to do so.) - Efficient portfolios Look again at the set of the three efficient portfolios that we calculated
in Section 8-1.
a. If the interest rate is 5%, which of the three efficient portfolios should you hold?
b. How would your answer to (a) change if the interest rate were 2%?