Financial Times 09Apr2020

(WallPaper) #1

Thursday9 April 2020 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES 7


C O M PA N I E S & M A R K E T S


A N N A N I C O L AO U— N E W YO R K
M A R K D I ST E FA N O— LO N D O N


Will Lewis is stepping down as chief
executive of Dow Jones, the Rupert
Murdoch-owned publisher, according
to people familiar with the matter.


The British media executive is leaving
“amicably” from the company, accord-
ing to people with knowledge of the
decision. Mr Lewis did not respond to
requests for comment.
Mr Lewis has held the top job at the
News Corp-owned financial news and
data group since 2014, where he has also
served as publisher of the Wall Street
Journal, guiding the newspaper through
an industry-wide shift towards online
readership.
Dow Jones, which includes its news
wire and Barron’s magazine, has
reached 3.5m digital subscribers,
including 2m for the Wall Street Journal,
the company reported in February.
Mr Lewis has an extensive back-


ground in journalism, having worked
for the Financial Times during the
1990s.
He later joined The Sunday Times and
then the Daily Telegraph, where in 2006
he became the youngest ever editor in
chief, and oversaw the newspaper’s
investigation into British MPs’ parlia-
mentary expenses.
He joined the Murdoch family-owned
newspapers in 2010 as the general man-
ager of News Group International, lead-
ing the newspaper division’s internal
investigation into the phone-hacking
crisis.
Dow Jones, which Mr Murdoch
bought for $5.7bn in 2007, has been
adapting to the decline in print media

by shifting towards online subscrip-
tions.
In an interview with the New York
Times in 2016, Mr Lewis said that chief
executives should be thinking like an
“agitator in chief ”. “You constantly
think about the next iteration of the
model and structure,” he said.
ews Corp chief Robert Thomson inN
February said that Dow Jones had
increased revenues by 4 per cent in the
most recent quarter, as digital subscrip-
tions grew by 17 per cent, reflecting
the “growing appetite for factual, fair
and deeply reported journalism”.
On word of his departure, one senior
newspaper executive questioned
whether Mr Lewis would consider
putting his hat in the ring for the vacant
director-general job at the BBC.
“It would be a clever move by the
BBC,” the person said.
“Will has good contacts within the UK
government and was Boris’s former
editor.”

Media


Lewis to quit as chief of publisher Dow Jones


AT T R AC TA M O O N E Y A N D
M A D I S O N DA R BYS H I R E —LO N D O N

More than £52bn in company divi-
dends are at risk in the UK this year as
the coronavirus crisis prompts busi-
nesses to slash payouts, according to
new research.

Dividend payments from UK compa-
nies will fall by as much as 53 per cent in
2020 to £46.5bn, including first-quarter
payouts that have already been made to
shareholders, according to a worst-case
scenario forecast by Link Group, which
administers financial ownership data.
More than 40 per cent of UK compa-
nies have already axed dividends, repre-
senting cuts of £28.2bn. Almost £24bn
more are at risk, the group said.
Dividends, a key source of income for
savers and investors, have come under
intense scrutiny during the outbreak as
entire sectors are put into lockdown and
thousands of workers furloughed.
Big investors have urged ailing com-

panies to ditch dividends to secure a
business, but some have warned that
well capitalised groups are scrapping
payouts for fear ofa backlash if they are
seen to be rewarding shareholders.
“Some of the cancellations for this
year are very necessary to protect com-
panies,” said Kit Atkinson, head of capi-
tal markets for corporate markets Emea
at Link Group. “For many, public rela-
tions are playing a role.”
Dividends “really matter”, providing
an income for pensioners and other sav-
ers, as well as underpinning share price
valuations, he said.
Several insurers, including Aviva and
Direct Line, said yesterday that they
were postponing their dividend pay-
ments, while banks have also scrapped
their payouts. The Link research said
that it expected “classic defensive sec-
tors” such as food retailers, healthcare
and basic consumer goods, to continue
paying their dividends.
Tesco, the supermarket, announced

that it would pay a full-year dividend of
6.5p a share. Dave Lewis, the chief exec-
utive, acknowledged the sensitivity
around paying dividends, but said the
needs of savers and pension funds also
had to be considered in the debate
around payouts.
Neville White, head of responsible
investment policy at EdenTree, the
asset manager, said that for sectors
“that are largely unaffected” by the out-
break, “there is no reason why they
shouldn’t continue paying their divi-
dend”.
Eugenia Unanyants-Jackson, head of
environmental, social and governance
research at Allianz Global Investors,
said decisions about dividends should
be on a company-by-company basis.
“We should not give the impression that
all dividends are bad.”
Retail investors have also criticised
companies with adequate cash reserves
for trimming payments.
See Lex

Financials


UK dividends of £52bn at risk this year


L AU R A N O O N A N —N E W YO R K


The Federal Reserve has agreed to
“temporarily” lift Wells Fargo’s asset
cap so that the bank can lend more to
customers who need support.
The news comes days after Wells
stopped accepting applications to the
government’s $350bn small business
rescuescheme, claimingit could not
lend any more money because of a cap
on its balance sheet imposed two years
agoafter a fake accounts scandal.


“Due to the extraordinary disruptions
from the coronavirus, the Federal
Reserve Board... will temporarily and
narrowly modify the growth restriction
on Wells Fargo so that it can provide
additional support to small businesses,”
the Fed said in a statement.
Wells said that it would resume
accepting applications under the
scheme, and would offer them to a
broader range of clients, having initially
prioritised charities and companies
with fewer than 50 employees for the
$10bn the bank first allocated to the
programme.
The Fed stressed that Wells would be
able to use the extra lending capacity
only to make loans under the pay

cheque rotection programme and thep
main street lending programme, two
government-backed schemes to help
businesses affected by the coronavirus’
economic fallout.
Wells will also have to surrender
any money it is paid for either pro-
gramme to the US Treasury or to “non-
profit organisations approved by the
Federal Reserve that support small
businesses”.
The Fed said that Wells would be
given flexibility on the asset cap for “as
long as the facilities are active”.
The small business lending pro-
gramme has been beset by difficulties
and delays since its launch last Friday,
despite the White House’s plea for

banks to quickly disburse the funds.
Congressional leaders have discussed
expanding the scheme by another
$250bn.
Wells said that ithad been contacted
by more than 170,000 customers inter-
ested in the loans over a period of just
two days.
On Monday, in a bid to whet banks’
appetites, the Fed said that it would buy
PPP loans from the bank, in a pro-
gramme that could have helped Wells to
lend more.
A person familiar with the bank’s
thinking said that the terms of the pro-
gramme were not clear enough for Wells
to take on more applications.
The Fed has told banks it will give

them more details on the programme,
but has not told them when those details
will be forthcoming.
Charles Scharf, chief executive, who
has made removing the $1.95tn asset
cap a priority since his October appoint-
ment, has argued that Wells is a far cry
from the group that was fined billions
for inflating its growth figures by fraud-
ulently creating customer accounts.
The FT reported in late March that Mr
Scharf and has lieutenants were press-
ing the Fed to lift the cap so that Wells
could lend more to households and
companies whose incomes have been
dramatically reduced, or eliminated, as
large parts of the USshut down their
economies to slowthe spread.

Banks


Fed loosens the leash on Wells Fargo


Balance sheet cap


lifted to bolster small


business lending


D E R E K B R OW E R —U S E N E R GY E D I TO R


Five years after the last crude price
crash, 2020 was supposed to mark a
recovery for Alberta, the heart of Can-
ada’s oil sands boom. The coronavirus
pandemic and Russia-Saudi price war
have dashed those hopes.
The oil bust has hurt producers
worldwide but the pain is acute in
Alberta, where local crude has traded
beneath $5 a barrel in recent weeks, a
shock to an industry that built a world-
class export business during an era of
triple-digit prices earlier this century.
“It’s a boat with a massive leak at the
bottom and we’re throwing whatever we
can off the side to stay afloat,” said an
executive at one big producer. “If there
is anything we can defer or shut, we are
doing it.”
Alberta is by far the biggest crude-
producing province in Canada, which
boasts the world’s third-biggest oil
deposits. Analysts say its output could
plunge as much as 1.7m barrels a day, a
third of the national total, cutting into
provincial royalties and depleting a
budget based on US oil trading at $58 a
barrel this year, twice today’s price.
The Saudi-Russia price war “is going
to ruin a lot of people’s livelihoods,
destroy countless small businesses and
inflict a lot of pain”, Jason Kenney,
Alberta’s premier, told the Financial
Times. He backed proposals fortariffs
on oil ntering North America, sayinge
he had discussed the matter with the US.
Mr Kenney said Alberta, which will
participate in this week’s meeting of
Opec, the oil producers’ cartel, would be
“open” to joining a move to shore up
prices by cutting output provided US
producers also participate — and “Opec
has to move first and has to move big”.
But given a 30 per cent fall in global oil
demand, analysts question whether
supply cuts can be large enough to com-
pensate for the loss in consumption.
Alberta’s hand in any negotiations is
weak. Its producers’ output is con-
strained by a government-mandated
quota from late 2018 during another
bout of weak prices. The limits have
been lifted gradually but not entirely.
Further involuntary cuts are inevita-
ble, producers say. As US fuel demand
falls, the Midwest refineries that take
about 70 per cent of the Canadian prov-
ince’s oil exports will soon cut back and
crude supplies will exhaust available
storage, said Jackie Forrest, senior


director of the Arc Energy Research
Institute in Calgary.
Projects in Alberta’s northern oil
sands, where almost half of the bitumen
is mined, require huge upfront capital
investments but produce steadily for
decades with relatively low operating
costs. Oil prices are just about high
enough to sustain production, which
would be costly to shut and restart.
Even so, about 100,000 barrels per
day of output has been curtailed
already, according to a tally by Tudor,
Pickering, Holt & Company, the invest-
ment bank. Athabasca Oil, Suncor
Energy and Teck Resources are among
companies to have announced cuts.
The bigger output losses will come
elsewhere. “We think there’s some other
things producers will choose to cut
first,” said April Read, analyst at Wood
Mackenzie, the consultancy, including
more conventional output of lighter oil.
Ms Forrest estimated output from
western Canada could fall at least 1m
b/d as storage fills up. Analysts at Royal
Bank of Canada said the total could

reach 1.7m b/d in the second and third
quarters of the year.
Wood Mackenzie said that if Brent
averaged $35 a barrel this year producer
cash flow across the sector would be
$17bn in the red. Alberta would lose
$2bn in royalties, the consultancy said,
about 6 per cent of total revenue. Econo-
mists say another recession is likely.
“Alberta never came close to recover-
ing from the last downturn,” said John
Berg, president of Shackleton Energy,
one of many small producers trying to
outlast another slump. Shackleton is to
shut a third of its 1,500 b/d of produc-
tion, he said. “Companies like ours are
just hanging on.”
The plunging crude price is only the
latest problem for Alberta’s oil patch.
For more than two decades, energy
companies have been battling to open
new export routes to global markets,
hoping to break an almost total US
stranglehold on the province’s supplies.
“We’re price-takers at the end of a
pipe,” said Mr Berg.
One federally owned project to boost

Alberta’s oil shipments to Canada’s west
coast is under way after years of wran-
gling. The provincial government last
week said it would spend $4.2bn buying
a stake in TC Energy’s $7bn Keystone XL
pipeline to Texas and lending it funds.
Theexpansion will not be online until
2022, and Keystone XL isthree years
from operation — assuming it over-
comes US legal challenges andclimate
protesters trying to halt development of
the oil sands, where the carbon foot-
print is particularly large because of the
energy required for extraction.
The province’s willingness to take out-
right stakes in new energy projects was
notable for a rightwing government.
That move was at least backed by
Alberta’s biggest producers. The fol-
low-up step, potential collaboration
with Opec, was viewed more dimly.
“The weaker barrels need to die so
that this market can be fixed,” said one
executive. “The government should be
listening to the companies that can sur-
vive this, not the ones who can’t.”
Additional reporting by David Sheppard

Energy. ector shockS


Double blow puts Canada’s oil sands in the pits


Alberta had expected better


times until the Russia-Saudi


spat and virus hove into view


Operations at
the Athabasca
oil sands near
Fort McMurray
Ben Nelms/Bloomberg

D E L P H I N E ST R AU S S

One of thelargest language training
providers is applying for state funding
under the UK’s virus job retention
scheme even though it has told staff
they will automatically be made redun-
dant once the programme stops.

EF Education First, which runs lan-
guage schools, cultural exchanges and
educational travel, with 52,000 employ-
ees in 114 countries, has been heavily
exposed to the restrictions imposed on
movement. It has cut staff across several
divisions.
In the UK, it told more than 40 staff
they would be made redundant on
March 17,one person briefed on the
mattersaid. The workerswere offered
full pay during their contractual notice
period, a statutory redundancy pay-
ment, and anex gratia payment in lieu
of consultation.
A few days later, the government
announced ascheme designed to
help employers hit by theoutbreak
retain staff. Through this, the state will
pay 80 per cent of wages for furloughed
workers, initially for three months from
March 1.
The government later made clear that
employers who had already cut staff
could rehire them and put them on fur-
lough instead.
EF made the affected staff a second
offer on March 31, giving them a choice
between redundancy on the original
terms, or furlough on 80 per cent pay,

while the scheme was available. Those
opting for furlough would still face
redundancy, with their notice period
starting once the furlough period ended.
They would still receive the statutory
redundancy payment, but EF would no
longer make the ex gratia payment orig-
inally offered.
Many of the employees concerned
might welcome the new offer as it would
give them more time to make new plans
before they stopped receiving payments
— with a slim chance of the company’s
prospects improving in the meantime
and the decision being reversed.
Jolyon Maugham, a barrister who
heads the Good Law Project, which
brings cases in the public interest, said
EF’s approach went against the govern-
ment’s intention to preserve jobs.
“The purpose cannot be to cut
the cost of redundancies for employers
and put the cost of making those
employees redundant on the state,” he
said, adding that the cheme should bes
amended to include a rule guarding
against abuse.
EF,a private, family-owned group
that does not disclose revenue or profit
growth, argued it was doing everything
it could to support the staff affected by
job cuts.
It believed the job retention scheme —
which some staff had urged it to use —
was meant to give employers and
employees a pause before redundancies
became effective. There is nothing in
the rules requiring employers to pre-
vent redundancies occurring later.
“It is our hope that we — along with
everyone else — will recover from this
challenging period even stronger than
before,” the companysaid.

Support services


Trainer taps


UK scheme


for previously


planned


redundancies


‘It’s a boat
with a

massive
leak at the

bottom and
we’re

throwing
whatever

we can off
the side to

stay afloat’


It was made clear that


employers who had cut
staff could rehire them and

put them on furlough


Crude crash
Western Canadian Select
( per barrel)

Source: S&P Global Platts Analytics











Jan  Apr

  
MEG: Christina Lake
Cenovus: Christina Lake
Suncor: Mackay/Firebag
Cenovus: Foster Creek
Husky: Tucker
CNRL: Thermal
Husky: Lloydminster
Athabasca: Leismer
Husky: Sunrise
Athabasca: Hangingstone
ConocoPhillips: Surmont
Suncor: Fort Hills
Imperial: Kearl

Costs before diluent expenses

Price barely exceeds
extraction cost
Oil sands projects
(operating costs,  per barrel)

Will Lewis became
the UK’s youngest
ever editor in chief
in 2006 when he
was head of the
Daily Telegraph

APRIL 9 2020 Section:Companies Time: 4/20208/ - 18:57 User:cathy.pryor Page Name:CONEWS1, Part,Page,Edition:EUR, 7, 1

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