Financial Times 27Feb2020

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Briefing


iNMC fires chief after review findings
The healthcare group has fired Prasanth Manghat,
suspended a treasury team member and granted
“extended sick leave” to its chief financial officer
after finding bank statement discrepancies.— PAGE 13

iPutin agrees vote on constitution change
The Russian president has agreed to a nationwide
vote on proposed changes on April 22, as he seeks
backing for a shake-up that would give him options
potentially to maintain rule in a new role.— PAGE 2

iRamaphosa wage-cut plan sets up clash
Pretoria has unveiled plans to
slash the public sector wage
bill, setting the president on a
collision course with powerful
trade unions as he seeks to fix a
wide fiscal deficit.— PAGE 3

iBank of England spurs shift from Libor
The UK central bank has sought to “turbocharge”
lenders’ shift away from the tainted interest rate
benchmark by toughening the terms of its lending
against it. Measures start in October.— PAGE 21

iBP cuts ties to lobby groups over climate
The oil group has said it will cut ties with three US
industry bodies after reviewing its membership of
30 global trade groups and weighing their positions
on climate policies against its own.— PAGE 16

iKyiv told bank spat risks capital flight
Petr Krumphanzl, chief executive of PrivatBank,
has warned Ukraine is at risk of capital flight and a
plummeting currency unless president Volodymyr
Zelensky commits to clean up the lender.— PAGE 2

iRobots lift vineyards’ grape expectations
Winemakers have turned to technology as limits on
working hours and immigration choke the labour
supply, with robots measuring everything from leaf
temperature to water availability.— PAGE 16

Datawatch


Healthy prognosis


The tangible benefits of AI for


medicine— BROOKE MASTERS, PAGE 11


THURSDAY 27 FEBRUARY 2020 WORLD BUSINESS NEWSPAPER ASIA


World Markets


STOCK MARKETS
Feb 26 prev %chg
S&P 500 3155.49 3128.21 0.
Nasdaq Composite 9073.11 8965.61 1.
Dow Jones Ind 27305.13 27081.36 0.
FTSEurofirst 300 1577.03 1576.17 0.
Euro Stoxx 50 3576.97 3572.51 0.
FTSE 100 7042.47 7017.88 0.
FTSE All-Share 3928.00 3921.63 0.
CAC 40 5684.55 5679.68 0.
Xetra Dax 12774.88 12790.49 -0.
Nikkei 22426.19 22605.41 -0.
Hang Seng 26696.49 26893.23 -0.
MSCI World $ 2269.42 2330.75 -2.
MSCI EM $ 1056.54 1055.32 0.
MSCI ACWI $ 542.91 555.73 -2.

CURRENCIES
Feb 26 prev
$ per € 1.087 1.
$ per £ 1.292 1.
£ per € 0.841 0.
¥ per $ 110.575 110.
¥ per £ 142.825 143.
SFr per € 1.062 1.
€ per $ 0.920 0.

Feb 26 prev
£ per $ 0.774 0.
€ per £ 1.189 1.
¥ per € 120.146 119.
£ index 81.367 80.
SFr per £ 1.263 1.

COMMODITIES

Feb 26 prev %chg
Oil WTI $ 49.41 49.90 -0.
Oil Brent $ 54.05 54.95 -1.
Gold $ 1650.30 1671.65 -1.

INTEREST RATES
price yield chg
US Gov 10 yr 1.33 -0.
UK Gov 10 yr 0.50 -0.
Ger Gov 10 yr 105.29 -0.51 0.
Jpn Gov 10 yr -0.10 0.
US Gov 30 yr 120.44 1.81 0.
Ger Gov 2 yr 105.82 -0.70 0.

price prev chg
Fed Funds Eff 1.55 1.55 0.
US 3m Bills 1.53 1.53 0.
Euro Libor 3m -0.45 -0.44 -0.
UK 3m 0.73 0.74 -0.
Prices are latest for edition Data provided by Morningstar

G U Y C H A Z A N— BERLIN

Germany’s finance minister is eyeing a
suspension of the country’s limit on
taking on new debt, in what would be a
big shift in fiscal orthodoxy in the euro-
zone’s largest economy.

Olaf Scholz wants to help 2,500 towns
and cities that are struggling to service
their debt. According to an official
familiar with his thinking, he is looking
at temporarily lifting Germany’s “debt
brake” — a measure enshrined in the
constitution that limits Berlin’s ability
to run deficits.
Germany’s strict fiscal discipline has
delivered a string of surpluses but a cho-
rus of economists, business leaders and
politicians argue that Angela Merkel’s
government should take advantage of
historically low interest rates to loosen
the purse strings and boost investment.

Calls for higher spending have grown
louder as the prospects for the eurozone
darken. Data published this month
showed the single currency area grow-
ing at its slowest rate since the debt cri-
sis seven years ago. There are also
mounting concerns over economic dis-
ruption from the coronavirus,which is
already having an impact on manufac-
turing supply chains, exports and travel.
Christine Lagarde, head of the ECB,
praised Mr Scholz’s initiative yesterday,
telling Bloomberg that “any fiscal meas-
ures intended to support the economy
are certainly very welcome, particularly
under present circumstances”.
“If that has the characteristic of fiscal
support and the encouragement to the
economy, that’s welcome,” she added.
However, changing or suspending the
debt brake could prove difficult. An
amendment to the constitution requires

a two-thirds majority in both houses of
the German parliament.
Mr Scholz, a Social Democrat, is also
unlikely to overcome resistance to his
proposal from Ms Merkel’s Christian
Democratic Union, senior partner in the
governing grand coalition.
Eckhardt Rehberg, the CDU spokes-
man on budgetary matters, accused Mr
Scholz of “trampling on the constitu-
tion”. He said: “You cannot just suspend
the debt brake whenever you feel like it,
just as you cannot suspend fundamental
rights.”
But Marcel Fratzscher, head of the
DIW think-tank, said Mr Scholz’s plan
would “create fiscal space for munici-
palities to build up capacity and raise
long-run investment”.
The ministry said only that Mr Scholz
would present his proposals for regulat-
ing debt in the first part of this year.

Finance minister eyes shift in German


fiscal orthodoxy by easing ‘debt brake’


©THE FINANCIAL TIMES LTD 2020


No: 40,334★


Printed in London, Liverpool, Glasgow, Dublin,
Frankfurt, Milan, Madrid, New York, Chicago, San
Francisco, Orlando, Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore,
Seoul, Dubai, Doha


AnalysisiPAGE 2

US tariff restraint opens
trade window to Brussels

Australia A$7.00(inc GST)
China RMB
Hong Kong HK$
India Rup
Indonesia Rp45,
Japan ¥650(inc JCT)
Korea W4,
Malaysia RM11.
Pakistan Rupee 350
Philippines Peso 140
Singapore S$5.80(inc GST)
Taiwan NT$
Thailand Bht
Vietnam US$4.

Central banks
in advanced
countries have
been cutting
interest rates at
the fastest pace
since the
financial crisis.
Expectations for
even more cuts
are now on the
rise, given fears of
the coronavirus
spreading further

Central bank action
Number of interest rate cuts in OECD
countries (-month rolling sum)











 

Recession

  
Source: Deutsche Bank

Fairytale ending?


Disney springs plot twist with new


role for Bob Iger— ANALYSIS, PAGE 15


Metal fatigue


Sanjeev Gupta’s salvage operations


come under strain—BIG READ, PAGE 9


F T R E P O RT E R S


The coronavirus epidemic broke fresh
ground yesterday with the number of
new cases reported outside China sur-
passing those inside the country for the
first time, as the outbreak spread across
Europe, Asia and north Africa and
arrived in Latin America.
Brazil confirmed its first coronavirus
patient and said it was monitoring 20
more suspected cases, while Algeria,
Pakistan and Greece were among those
to report their first positive tests for the
flu-like infection.
Despite the increasingly international
nature of the outbreak, the World
Health Organization has so far resisted
labelling the disease a “pandemic”.
“For the moment, we are not witness-


ing sustained and intensive community
transmission of this virus, and we are
not witnessing large-scale severe dis-
ease or death,” said WHO director-
general Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.
The number of people infected by the
coronavirus has now pushed beyond
81,000, with 2,770 deaths.
Global markets were steady following
two days of steep falls. The Stoxx 600, a
gauge of European equities was flat. US
stock markets rallied in morning trade,
but had given up most of the gains by
lunchtime.
Gold continued to strengthen, climb-
ing 0.4 per cent to $1,642 per troy ounce,
while the price of US crude sank to its
lowest level in more than a year.
This week’s sell-off across global stock
markets has developed into one of the

most significant retreats since the
2008-09 financial crisis, with investors
ditching riskier assets amid growing
fears that the impact of the virus will be
more widespread than first thought.
“The recent swings indicate the com-
placency that appears to have settled
over markets during the earlier stages of
the outbreak has been dislodged,” said
George Efstathopoulos, multi-asset
portfolio manager at fund manager
Fidelity International. “In our view, the
volatility isn’t as surprising as the fact
that it took so long to rear its head.”
South Korean officials said they had
started the mass testing of more than
200,000 members of a quasi-religious
sect believed to be at the heart of an out-
break in Asia’s fourth-biggest economy.
The country is now the worst hit outside

China, with 12 deaths and 1,261 people
with confirmed infections.
The impact on corporate earnings
also became clearer, with Diageo, the
world’s biggest spirits maker, warning of
a hit to profits this year of up to £200m
and Danone trimming its target for
2020 sales growth.
The outbreak is also taking its toll on
sport. The Ireland v Italy Six Nations
rugby match set for March 7 in Dublin
was postponed, adding to the list of can-
celled or delayed sporting events across
Asia and Europe.
Reports & analysispage 4
Editorial Commentpage 10
Prabhat Jhapage 11
Lexpage 12
US banks in Japanpage 13
Marketspage 21

Infection spread speeds up beyond


China as virus breaks new ground


3 First Latin American case 3 WHO resists pandemic tag 3 Corporate impact clearer


Among ruins


Modi calls for


calm in Delhi


Muslim wedding guests pass security
personnel on patrol in New Delhi yester-
day among riot-hit shops and homes.
Thousands of paramilitary police
were deployed on the streets of India’s
capital to restore order following days of
religious violence that has left at least 20
dead and almost 200 people injured.
Narendra Modi, India’s prime minister,
appealed for calm yesterday in his first
public acknowledgment of the worst
religious clashes in the city in decades.
Religious tensions have been rising
since Mr Modi’s government introduced
a law that incorporates religious criteria
into India’s citizenship policies for the
first time.
India sends in paramilitariespage 3
Editorial Comment & Notebookpage 10
Sajjad Hussain/AFP via Getty Images)


The World
Health
Organization
said: ‘We are not
witnessing
sustained and
intensive
community
transmission of
this virus’

FEBRUARY 27 2020 Section:FrontBack Time: 26/2/2020 - 19: 12 User: simon.roberts Page Name: 1FRONT USA, Part,Page,Edition: ASI, 1, 1

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