A dysregulated immune response, a cytokine
storm and cytokine-release syndrome1,2 are
some of the terms used to describe the over-
exuberant defence response that is thought to
contribute to disease severity in certain people
who become seriously ill with COVID-19.
However, a precise definition of this type of
immune dysfunction remains elusive. On
page 463, Lucas et al.^3 fill in some gaps in our
knowledge.
A holy grail of COVID-19 research is the
ability to assess a person’s immune response,
to pinpoint early the individuals who have mild
symptoms but who are on track to develop the
intense defence response that is associated
with severe disease. This is important because
there is a broad spectrum of clinical disease in
people infected with SARS-CoV-2, the corona-
virus that causes COVID-19: some infected indi-
viduals can be asymptomatic, whereas others
are at risk of dying, and require hospitalization
in an intensive-care unit and use of a ventilator
machine to breathe4,5. Identifying those whose
dysregulated immune-response signature pre-
dicts the development of severe disease would
enable them to be monitored more intensively
to minimize disease progression.
Lucas and colleagues performed extensive
analyses of immune responses over time (longi-
tudinal studies) in 113 people hospitalized with
COVID-19 who had moderate or severe disease,
and assessed a similar number of SARS-CoV-2-
free healthy people as controls. The authors
analysed molecules in blood plasma (Fig. 1)
and monitored peripheral blood mononuclear
cells — white blood cells of the immune system
such as CD4 T cells, CD8 T cells and B cells. The
longitudinal nature of this study enables con-
clusions to be drawn that wouldn’t be possible
from analysing cross-sectional studies that
don’t follow individuals over time.
The authors found that levels of several
molecules that promote inflammation —
immunomodulatory molecules termed
cytokines, including IL-1α, IL-1β, IFN-α, IL-17A
and IL-12 p70 — were higher in all of the people
who had COVID-19 than in the healthy controls,
providing a ‘core’ COVID-19 signature. Other
cytokines, such as IFN-λ, thrombopoietin
(which is associated with abnormalities in
blood clotting), IL-21, IL-23 and IL-33, were
upregulated to a greater extent in people with
severe COVID-19 than in those with moderate
disease. Several of the molecules upregu-
lated in the core COVID-19 signature, as well
as those seen in severe disease, have been
identified previously as positively correlated
with COVID-19 severity6,7. Severe disease was
characterized by prolonged elevation of
many of these molecules, whereas the lev-
els of most of them subsided in people with
moderate disease. Moreover, individuals
with severe disease showed increased levels
of cytokines associated with activation of a
protein complex called the inflammasome,
a component of the immune response that
is a driver of inflammation. Also increased
were levels of IL-1Ra, a protein that normally
inhibits excessive inflammasome function,
providing a rare example of an upregulated
molecule that dampens the immune response
in severe disease.
Levels of molecules associated with a
defence response to viral infection — released
by a type of activated CD4 T cell called a
Coronavirus
COVID-19 poses a riddle
for the immune system
Stanley Perlman
It is unclear why people’s immune response to the SARS-CoV-
coronavirus varies so widely. Tracking patient responses over
time sheds light on this issue, and has implications for efforts
to predict disease severity. See p.
Healthy
Level of IFN-α Level of IFN-
γ
Level of TNF-α
a b c
Time Time Viral load
Viral load Level of IL-
CD4 and CD8 T cells
d e f
Time Time Time
Severe
disease
Moderate
disease
Figure 1 | Immune responses to COVID-19 infection. Lucas et al.^3 analysed blood samples taken over time
from individuals hospitalized with moderate or severe COVID-19. Such information is useful for efforts to
try to predict the individuals at risk of developing a severe form of the disease, which is often accompanied
by an intense immune response. a, The authors identified a subset of immune-signalling molecules called
cytokines that are expressed in people with moderate or severe disease; IFN-α is one such ‘core’ cytokine.
b, The expression level of certain other cytokines, such as IFN-λ, mainly changed when the disease became
more severe. c, The level of some inflammation-promoting cytokines, such as TNF-α, correlated with viral
load in the nasal passages. d, Viral load declined over time in people with moderate COVID-19, but not in those
with severe disease. e, Some cytokines not associated with antiviral responses, such as IL-5, which aids defence
against parasitic worms and is released during allergic reactions, were, surprisingly, upregulated as people
developed severe disease. f, The levels of CD4 and CD8 T cells, which are key immune cells involved in viral
clearance, were lower in people with moderate or severe disease than in healthy individuals uninfected with
SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. (Graphs based on data from ref. 3.)
Nature | Vol 584 | 20 August 2020 | 345
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