Barron’s - USA (2020-09-28)

(Antfer) #1

September 28, 2020 BARRON’S 9


ened up after the report. You always


have to take into account that the mar-


ket can be unpredictable. With Nikola,


we recognized that there were a lot of


retail investors buying into a company


with essentially no revenue, and no


salable product. You have to be aware


that it can ultimately go either way,


regardless of how strong your evi-


dence is.


Why do you publicly call out com-


panies in short reports? What’s


Hindenburg’s mission?


The only reason we’re any good at


what we do, is because the team is in-


herently troubled by how broken the


market is and how broken the finan-


cial system is. We want to do our part


and fix it. We want to make a dent. For


us, it’s not just about going deep


enough for a trade, we want to go deep


enough to hit beyond a reasonable


doubt threshold.


We want to identify conflicted and


corrupt sell-side banks that prop up


companies purely because they have a


financial interest. We want to expose


all of the things that enable fraud to


pervade across the financial system.


We view ourselves as investigative


journalists with a different business


model, more than what we’re com-


monly referred to, as just short sellers.


Why do you dispute the short-


seller label?


People don’t really know this, but


we’ve quietly blown up over a half


dozen Ponzi schemes. We have submit-


ted whistleblower filings on over two


dozen private companies, private


funds, and public companies. We just


haven’t published on those. I think it


confuses people because people as-


sume we’re just in it for a trade. We


want to put bad guys in jail. We want


to catalyze legislation that makes mar-


kets more transparent and effective.


Wall Street has come to know you


because of your short research. Do


you make long calls?


We’re both long and short. We just


don’t publish our longs, because they


are pretty run-of-the-mill, with some


diversification. We have some inflation


hedging and things of that nature, like


gold and silver. We also have some


technology companies that we think


are positioned for growth.


What are your returns like?


I’d prefer not to discuss it, but they’re


very good this year.


Can you tell us a bit about how


you’re thinking about the market?


We’re in a market where there’s so


much liquidity sloshing around, and


so much of the retail investment is in


hype-fueled industries, that it has at-


tracted and enriched just about every


stock promoter capable of telling a


basic story.


A lot of this is fueled by never-end-


ing Federal Reserve liquidity. So the


Fed has come in and largely put a bid


under everything. Whenever you print


trillions of dollars of new money, at


any given point there’s a finite number


of Treasury bills and high-quality in-


struments, whether corporate bonds


or stocks, and you can bid up multi-


ples to a certain point. But it seems


that eventually that money flows into


highly speculative names, and what


that’s led to is the Nasdaq ripping past


new highs, behind a lot of money that’s


really going into just about any specu-


lative tech stock with potential. I view


it as a state-sponsored mess of stupid-


ity of sorts.


Why do you think special purpose


acquisition vehicles (SPACs) have


become attractive to investors this


year?


I think the bubble around bankrupt


equities has abated to some extent, but


then the excitement became SPACs,


which prior to this year were consid-


ered one of the least desirable paths to


going public. It’s one with far less


scrutiny than the traditional initial


public offering process, and one rele-


gated to companies that really couldn’t


cut it. When market logic is flipped


completely upside down, why not sud-


denly bid up SPACs for no apparent


reason.


Thanks, Nathan. B


Nikola Short


Says Market


Is ‘Broken’


Of his firm, Hindenburg Research, Nathan Anderson


says: “We view ourselves as investigative journalists.”


N


athan Anderson is an activist investor and the


founder of Hindenburg Research, which has


made headlines for its short call on Nikola.


Since Hindenburg’s 67-page report on Nikola


(ticker: NKLA)—detailing a list of objections it


has to the electric-truck start-up—was released


on Sept. 10, the company’s shares have declined


about 50%. Nikola has said that the report was “designed to


provide a false impression to investors.”


Before starting Hindenburg in 2017, Anderson, 36,


worked at FactSet Research Systems. His five-person firm,


he says, takes pride in exposing inefficiencies in the stock


market. We spoke to Anderson this past week. The inter-


view has been edited for length and clarity.


Barron’s : Will you tell us a bit about how you selected


Nikola as a subject of your research, and a bit more


generally on how Hindenburg arrives at new ideas?


Nathan Anderson: Bloomberg published an article by Ed


Ludlow [on June 17] that identified that the founder had


made false statements about the functionality of a truck.


[The founder told Bloomberg at the time, “I never deceived


anyone.” He has since resigned as executive chairman of


Nikola and says he intends to defend himself against “false


allegations.”] We read that, thought it looked interesting,


and kept it on our radar until we got introduced to an attor-


ney representing some people more familiar with the com-


pany’s business partners and former partners. That’s when


we really started to dig in.


In general, we use some pretty traditional ways of


screening for accounting red flags and the like. We also look


for recidivists, or bad actors in management that have a


history of stock promotion or securities fraud, or being as-


sociated with companies or businesses that have been


charged with securities fraud or other kinds of white-collar


crimes. People are key. And we also get tips from other in-


vestors that have come across something they think is sus-


picious, and they’ll send us information.


Can you tell us about executing the Nikola trade? Was


the stock hard to borrow?


Nikola stock wasn’t particularly hard to borrow, but it tight-


By MAX A. CHERNEY


Photograph by Johnny Milano

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