The New Yorker - USA (2020-11-23)

(Antfer) #1

36 THENEWYORKER,NOVEMBER23, 2020


ANNALSOFACTIVISM


THE ANTI-COUP


Strategic nonviolent conflict has led to democratic reforms around the world. Can it work here?

BY ANDREW MARANTZ


A


bout a week before Election
Day, Erica Chenoweth, the Bert­
hold Beitz Professor in Human
Rights and International Affairs at the
Harvard Kennedy School, hosted an im­
promptu Zoom meeting for students,
alumni, and colleagues—a free­form con­
versation in which people could ask ques­
tions, express anxieties, and try to gauge,
from a comparative­politics perspective,
whether the United States was totally
screwed or just moderately screwed. As
rectangles on the Zoom grid flickered
to life, Chenoweth played “Freedom,”
by Beyoncé (“I break chains all by my­
self/Won’t let my freedom rot in Hell”).
Chenoweth is an expert in civil resis­
tance, a term that Chenoweth uses in­
terchangeably with “nonviolent mass ac­
tion,” or “strategic nonviolent conflict,”
or “unarmed insurrection.” Most politi­
cal scientists study how political institu­
tions work; Chenoweth and other schol­
ars of civil resistance study what happens
when mainstream political institutions
break down and the people rise up.
Eventually, three dozen participants
joined the Zoom, some from the Bos­
ton area and others from the pandemic
diaspora—Nashville; Tunis; Kenosha,
Wisconsin. The song ended, and Cheno­
weth, who speaks methodically and
calmly about even the least calming sub­
jects, walked through a few potential
post­election scenarios. “The ideal, ob­
viously, is that there’s a clear result that
is quickly and widely accepted,” Cheno­
weth said. But what if President Trump
were to declare victory prematurely?
What if his Administration were to flood
the courts with specious lawsuits, at­
tempting to slow or stop the vote count
in various states? What if the results were
undeniable, but Trump loyalists—in the
legislature, in the media, on the streets—
refused to accept them?
In the event of any major violation,
most people would be inclined to keep
refreshing their news feeds, waiting fret­


fully for those in charge to decide what
should happen next. Chenoweth argued
that such a situation would require more
than passive vigilance: “Regular people
should know that there are steps they
can take to uphold democracy.” This is
a core tenet of civil­resistance theory,
also known as people power—that cit­
izens, working in concert, have more
agency than they are led to believe.
In the past fifteen years, there has
been a marked global increase in what
international­relations scholars call “dem­
ocratic backsliding,” with more author­
itarians and authoritarian­style leaders
consolidating power. “There’s no one
moment when a country crosses from a
democracy into an autocracy,” Cheno­
weth told me in October. “The norms
and institutions can grow weaker over
years, or decades, without people notic­
ing. But there are sometimes decisive
moments of contestation and confusion,
and would­be authoritarians can stoke
and exploit that confusion.” Some land­
marks are more obviously fraught than
others. In the run­up to the election,
Trump’s opponents constantly said that
democracy was on the ballot—a parti­
san cliché that also happened to be true.
Trump spent the past four years foment­
ing racism, spewing lies, and praising
dictators around the world; in the weeks
before the Zoom, he announced repeat­
edly that he would not accept an unfa­
vorable election result, and that he had
no particular allegiance to the American
tradition of a peaceful transfer of power.
On several occasions, he issued veiled
threats of violence; during his first de­
bate with Joe Biden, for example, he ap­
peared to instruct loyalist street thugs to
“stand back and stand by.” Chenoweth
told me, “There’s never been any real
justification for the American exception­
alist myth that it can’t happen here. What
we’ve seen from Trump is straight out of
the authoritarian playbook.” Not only can
it happen here, Chenoweth continued; if

it did, “this is what it would look like.”
Chenoweth is forty, with a spiky
hairdo and a gap­toothed smile. On
Chenoweth’s Web site, along with the
usual links to syllabuses and recent op­
eds, are several warmly written form let­
ters offering advice on such topics as how
to take care of yourself during your first
year of graduate school—the sign of a
public intellectual who is inclined to give
thoughtful counsel to anyone who asks,
but who long ago lost the battle with
their overflowing in­box. (Another piece
of information on the site: “I am pretty
indifferent to pronouns and don’t strongly
identify with any of them. If pressed, I
prefer being called by my name or they/
them.”) The most poignant form letter
is written in response to almost daily re­
quests from activists all over the world.
“It is my current practice not to offer
advice or guidance to people involved
in ongoing conflicts outside of my own
country,” the letter reads. “If you are deal­
ing with a seemingly impossible situa­
tion...by using peaceful methods to
struggle for rights, security, and access,
know that your bravery and persistence
inspire me and the countless others who
are watching.” In “Civil Resistance: What
Everyone Needs to Know,” which will
be published early next year by Oxford
University Press, Chenoweth writes that
“nonviolent revolutions have indeed cre­
ated major societal breakthroughs,” but
that “there are still many people around
the world who have not yet been exposed
to these ideas or who remain more sym­
pathetic to violent alternatives—and, as
a result, default to apathy or to violence
as their only options.”
During the previous decade, Cheno­
weth has written, they have “evolved from
being a detached skeptic of civil resis­
tance to becoming an invested partici­
pant in nonviolent movements at home,”
including “anti­racism campaigns, the
movement for immigrant rights, the sanc­
tuary movement, the climate movement,
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