Juvenile Delinquency 85
again, others with fewer do. This makes reliable decisions about who needs
to be detained in a secure facility difficult. There are now instruments for
assessing and weighting various risk factors, for example, the Early Assess-
ment Risk List (EARL) in North America is well validated, as is the ASSET
system in the UK. The latter, for example, predicts reconviction within two
years with 70% accuracy. Factors assessed are shown in Box 7.2.
Box 7.2Factors to take into account in a risk assessment of young
offenders
Index offence
Seriousness
Nature and quality
Victim characteristics
Intention and motive
Role in offence
Behaviour
Attitude to offence
Empathy for victim
Compassion for others
Past offences
Juvenile record
Number of previous arrests
Convictions for violence
Cautions
Self-reported offending
Past behavioural problems
Violence
Self-harm
Fire-setting
Cruelty to children
Cruelty to animals
While society is concerned about the safety of others, it is wise to
remember the high rate of self-harm in young offenders, especially when
locked up, and assess this too (see Chapter 12 on deliberate self-harm and
suicide). Attention should also be given to the environment the young
person has come from, including protective factors such as non-deviant
friends, a supportive relationship from a non-criminal adult, or skills giving
self-esteem and the opportunity for constructive activity or employment.
Conversely, the risks inherent in the environment, as well as the person,
should be assessed, since offending behaviour also requires opportunity
and stimuli, which are often less predictable. Does the young person go
out at night to notorious drug spots? Do his friends inject narcotics? Are
any of them HIV positive? Does he see friends outside nightclubs known