Table 20.2
Comparison of social attributes of first-generation global models
Meadows et al (1972)Mesarovic and Pestel (1974)Kahn, Brown and Martel (1976)Goldsmith et al (1972)LAWMa^Herrera et al (1976)Leontief, Carter and Petri (1977)USCEQb^(1980)Clark and Munn (1986)Brown(1981)NatureResources; waste sink; scarcityHarmony; web of life; human survival; scarcityWarehouse; conquer; monitor; manageSystem; complexity; stable; self-regula-tory; predict-ableResourcesEconomic factor; resources; waste sink; not limitingLife support; resourcesGarden; Gaia; resourcesHarmony; resourcesHuman natureCulture; creativity, incentive = improvement; basic goodBasic goods; can change; do right thingSelf-interest; incentive = struggle; satisfaction; test/stimulate; structure/purpose; engineeredPart of nature; adaptation; natural law; community; belongingNot addressed; solidarity; progressNot addressed; implied – Homo economusNot addressed; implied – part of natureGoodness; utilitarianRational; do right thingTimeMechanical; interval; open future; 70 yearsLinear w/cycles; narrowing options; 50 yearsLinear: sequential developing progress; slowing changeNot clear; critical point; industrialism as historical aberrationLinear; history open-ended and depends on human will; process as originalLinearLinear; future as extrapola-tion of present; narrowing optionsLinear; holisticLinearValid modes of under-standingRational science; analyse, then manage; science engaged in moralsHolism; science; objective + subjective; science engaged; participationRational; engineering; objective; science; moralityCulturally determined; may be many; science serves ecosphereAnalytical; rational; economic models; ideologyAnalytical; rational; economic modelsAnalytical modelsScience; interdisci-plinary; surprises; linear argument for non-linearityRational