Table 20.2
Comparison of social attributes of first-generation global models
Meadows et al (1972)
Mesarovic and Pestel (1974)
Kahn, Brown and Martel (1976)
Goldsmith et al (1972)
LAWM
a^
Herrera et al (1976)
Leontief, Carter and Petri (1977)
USCEQ
b^
(1980)
Clark and Munn (1986)
Brown(1981)
Nature
Resources; waste sink; scarcity
Harmony; web of life; human survival; scarcity
Warehouse; conquer; monitor; manage
System; complexity; stable; self-regula-tory; predict-able
Resources
Economic factor; resources; waste sink; not limiting
Life support; resources
Garden; Gaia; resources
Harmony; resources
Human nature
Culture; creativity, incentive = improvement; basic good
Basic goods; can change; do right thing
Self-interest; incentive = struggle; satisfaction; test/stimulate; structure/purpose; engineered
Part of nature; adaptation; natural law; community; belonging
Not addressed; solidarity; progress
Not addressed; implied – Homo economus
Not addressed; implied – part of nature
Goodness; utilitarian
Rational; do right thing
Time
Mechanical; interval; open future; 70 years
Linear w/cycles; narrowing options; 50 years
Linear: sequential developing progress; slowing change
Not clear; critical point; industrialism as historical aberration
Linear; history open-ended and depends on human will; process as original
Linear
Linear; future as extrapola-tion of present; narrowing options
Linear; holistic
Linear
Valid modes of under-standing
Rational science; analyse, then manage; science engaged in morals
Holism; science; objective + subjective; science engaged; participation
Rational; engineering; objective; science; morality
Culturally determined; may be many; science serves ecosphere
Analytical; rational; economic models; ideology
Analytical; rational; economic models
Analytical models
Science; interdisci-plinary; surprises; linear argument for non-linearity
Rational