465
HYDROLOGY
THE PURPOSES OF HYDROLOGICAL STUDIES
Hydrology is concerned with all phases of the transport of
water between the atmosphere, the land surface and sub-
surface, and the oceans, and the historical development of
an understanding of the hydrological process is in itself
a fascinating study.^6 As a science, hydrology encompasses
many complex processes, a number of which are only
imperfectly understood. It is perhaps helpful in developing
an understanding of hydrological theory to focus attention
not on the individual physical processes, but on the practi-
cal problems which the hydrologist is seeking to solve. By
studying hydrology from the problem-solving viewpoint,
we shall see the interrelationship of the physical processes
and the approximations which are made to represent pro-
cesses which are either imperfectly understood or too com-
plex for complete physical representation. We shall also
see what data is required to make adequate evaluations of
given problems.
A prime hydrological problem is the forecasting of
stream-fl ow run-off. Such forecasts may be concerned with
daily fl ows, especially peak fl ows for fl ood warning, or a
seasonal forecast may be required, where a knowledge of
the total volume of run-off is of prime interest. More sophis-
ticated forecast procedures are required for the day-to-day
operation of fl ood control reservoirs, hydropower projects,
irrigation and water supply schemes, especially for schemes
which are used to serve several purposes simultaneously
such as hydropower, fl ood control, and irrigation.
Hydrologists are also concerned with studying statistical
patterns of run-off. A special class of problems is the study
of extreme events, such as fl oods or droughts. Such maxi-
mum events provide limiting design data for fl ood spillways,
dyke levels, channel design, etc. Minimum events are impor-
tant, for example, in irrigation studies and fi sheries projects.
A more complex example of statistical studies is concerned
with sequential patterns of run-off, for either monthly or
annual sequences. Such sequences are important when test-
ing the storage capacity of a water resource system, such
as an irrigation or hydropower reservoir, when assessing the
risk of failing to meet the requirements of a given scheme.
A specially challenging example of sequential fl ow studies
concerns the pattern of run-off from several tributary areas
of the same river system. In such studies it is necessary to try
to maintain not only a sequential pattern but also to model
the cross-correlations between the various tributaries.
The question of land use and its infl uences on run-off
occupies a central position in the understanding of hydrolog-
ical processes. Land use has been studied for its infl uence on
fl ood control, erosion control, water yield and agriculture,
with particular application to irrigation. Perhaps the most
marked effect of changed land use and changed run-off char-
acteristics is demonstrated by urbanization of agricultural
and forested lands. The paving of large areas and the infl u-
ence of buildings has a marked effect in increasing run-off
rates and volumes, so that sewer systems must be designed
to handle the increased fl ows. Although not so dramatic, and
certainly not so easy to document, the infl uence of trees and
crops on soil structure and stability may well prove to be
the most far-reaching problem. There is a complex interac-
tion between soil biology, the crop and the hydrological fac-
tors such as soil moisture, percolation, run-off, erosion, and
evapo-transpiration. Adequate hydrological calculations are
a prerequisite for such studies.
A long-term aim of hydrological studies is the clear
defi nition of existing patterns of rainfall and run-off. Such a
defi nition requires the establishment of statistical measures
such as the means, variances and probabilities of rate events.
From these studies come not only the design data for extreme
events but also the determination of any changes in climate
which may be either cyclical or a longterm trend. It is being
suggested in many quarters that air pollution may have a
gradual effect on the Earth’s radiation balance. If this is true
we should expect to see measurable changes in our climatic
patterns. Good hydrological data and its proper analysis will
provide one very important means of evaluating such trends
and also for measuring the effectiveness of our attempts to
correct the balance.
A BRIEF NOTE ON STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES
The hydrologist is constantly handling large quantities
of data which may describe precipitation, streamfl ow,
climate, groundwater, evaporation, and many other factors.
A reasonable grasp of statistical measures and techniques is
invaluable to the hydrologist. Several good basic textbooks
are referenced, 1,2,3,8,9 and Facts from Figures by Moroney, is
particularly recommended for a basic understanding of what
statistics is aiming to achieve.
The most important aspect of the nature of data is the
question of whether data is independent or dependent. Very
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