20-Term Structure Page 638 Wednesday, February 4, 2004 1:33 PM
638 The Mathematics of Financial Modeling and Investment Management
If φ(t) = 0 then the Black-Karasinki model becomes the KWF model.
The Black-Karasinki model is lognormal and therefore interest rates
cannot be negative. The error correction term also prevents rates from
diverging.
The Black-Derman-Toy Model
In 1990 Fischer Black, Emanuel Derman, and William Toy^18 proposed a
lognormal arbitrage-free model with α= 1, μ(i,t) = c(t)i:
di = c t()idt + σ()tidBˆ
Two-Factor Models
A number of two factor models have also been proposed. Brennan and
Schwarz, for example, proposed in 1979 a model based on a short rate i
and a long rate y.^19 This model is written as a set of two equations,
di = μ 1 (i ,, τ y)dt + σ 1 (i ,,τ y)dBˆ
dy = μ 2 (i ,, τy)ydt + σ 2 (i ,,τ y)ydBˆ *
where the two Brownian motions are correlated.
PRICING OF INTEREST-RATE DERIVATIVES
The models of the term structure described thus far are based on deriv-
ing the arbitrage-free prices of zero-coupon bonds from the short-term
rate process. In a nutshell, the methodology involves the following
steps:
■ Step 1. Assume that the short rate process it is a function of an N-
dimensional Itô process Xt (the factors):
it = FX( t,t)
(^18) Fischer Black, Emanuel Derman, and William Toy, “A One Factor Model of In-
terest Rates and Its Application to the Treasury Bond Options,” Financial Analyst
Journal (January–February 1990), pp. 33–39.
(^19) Michael J. Brennan. and Eduardo S. Schwartz, “A Continuous Time Approach to
the Pricing of Bonds,” Journal of Banking and Finance 3 (1979), pp. 133–155.