16/YOUR MONEY OR YOUR LIFE!
some 2 5 million ] obs in the United States, that is between one and two
million jobs per year for the next 15 to 20 years'. The same issue goes
on to quote the head of a consulting firm: 'We know how to explain
job loss but are unable to see where jobs will be created.'
In the Former Eastern Bloc Countries
Unemployment has skyrocketed since the beginning of the 1990s.
World Bank officials prescribe a necessary unemployment rate of 20
per cent for these countries. Indeed, at an April 1992 seminar held
in Turin on the Eastern European adjustment, one of the two World
Bank representatives presented the following hypothesis: '[perhaps
we should] judge our success in achieving adjustments in Central
and Eastern Europe by the extent to which unemployment rises
rather than by the extent to which we [are] able to keep unemploy
ment down' (George and Sabelli, 1994).
In late 1994-early 1995 the number of officially unemployed in
the Russian Federation was 1.69 million, but the real situation is
actually much worse. Based on different press and trade union
sources, Jean-Marie Chauvier has calculated that in early 1995
almost 12 million workers were unemployed, or 15.4 per cent of the
active population (Chauvier, 1995, unpublished). The World Bank
representatives' fondest wishes may yet be fulfilled!
In the Third World
Official figures systematically understate the reality of unemploy
ment. Our calculations reveal that somewhere in the vicinity of 1
billion j obs would have to be created to ensure properly paid work for
all. The implementation of structural adjustment programmes has
led to a steep increase in unemployment for a number of reasons.
First, there have been mass dismissals in the public sector. Second,
the domestic market has been sharply cut back, leading to
bankruptcy for many companies. In 1995 in Mexico, for example,
following the December 1994 crisis, 850,000 jobs were eliminated
(Toussaint, 1996c). Third, export-oriented policies in agriculture
have hit subsistence farming hard, accelerating the rural exodus of
huge numbers of the unemployed to the cities.
Millions of jobs have been lost as a result of the Southeast Asian
crisis that began in 19 9 7. It is estimated that, in 19 9 8, 3 million j obs