Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers

(John Hannent) #1

Let f(x; ) be the density function of population X where, for simplicity, is
the only parameter to be estimated from a set of sample values x 1 ,x 2 ,...,xn.
The joint density function of the corresponding sample X 1 ,X 2 ,...,Xn has the
form


We define the likelihood function L of a set of n sample values from the
population by


In the case when X is discrete, we write


When the sample values are given, likelihood function L becomes a function
of a single variable. The estimation procedure for based on the method of
maximum likelihood consists of choosing, as an estimate of , the particular
value of that maximizes L. The maximum of L( ) occurs in most cases at the
value of where dL( )/d is zero. Hence, in a large number of cases, the
maximum likelihood estimate (MLE)^ of based on sample values x 1 ,x 2 ,...,
and xn can be determined from


As we see from Equations (9.96) and (9.97), function L is in the form of a
product of many functions of. Since L is always nonnegative and attains its
maximum for the same value of^ as ln L, it is ge ne rally easier to obtain MLE
by solving


because ln L is in the form of a sum rather than a product.
Equation (9.99) is referred to as the likelihood equation. The desired solution
is one where root is a function of xj,j 1, 2,...,n,ifsucharootexists.When
several roots of Equation (9.99) exist, the MLE is the root corresponding to the
global maximum of L or ln L.


288 Fundamentals of Probability and Statistics for Engineers


 

f…x 1 ;†f…x 2 ;†f…xn;†:

L…x 1 ;x 2 ;...;xn;†ˆf…x 1 ;†f…x 2 ;†f…xn;†: … 9 : 96 †

L…x 1 ;x 2 ;...;xn;†ˆp…x 1 ;†p…x 2 ;†p…xn;†: … 9 : 97 †

 



 

  

^ 

dL…x 1 ;x 2 ;...;xn;^†
d^

ˆ 0 : … 9 : 98 †



^

^

dlnL…x 1 ;...;xn;^†
d^

ˆ 0 ; … 9 : 99 †

^ ˆ
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