19.7. Really Great Expectations 835
Problem 19.32.
An infinite version of Murphy’s Law is that if an infinite number of mutually inde-
pendent events are expected to happen, then the probability that only finitely many
happen is 0. This is known as the firstBorel-Cantelli Lemma.
(a)LetA 0 ;A 1 ;:::be any infinite sequence of mutually independent events such
that X
n 2 N
PrŒAnçD1: (19.28)
Prove that PrŒnoAnoccursçD 0.
Hint:Bkthe event that noAnwithnkoccurs. So the event that noAnoccurs is
BWWD
\
k 2 N
Bk:
Apply Murphy’s Law, Theorem 19.6.4, toBk.
(b)Conclude that PrŒonly finitely manyAn’s occurçD 0.
Hint:LetCkbe the event that noAnwithnkoccurs. So the event that only
finitely manyAn’s occur is
CWWD
[
k 2 N
Ck:
Apply part (a) toCk.
Problems for Section 19.7
Practice Problems
Problem 19.33.
LetRbe a positive integer valued random variable such that
PDFR.n/D
1
cn^3
;
where
cWWD
X^1
nD 1
1
n^3
:
(a)Prove that ExŒRçis finite.