360 CHAPTER 6 Inferential Statistics
F′(t+τ)F(t) =F(t+τ)F′(t).
But this can be written as
d
dt
lnF(t+τ) =
d
dt
lnF(t),
forcing
F(t+τ) =−F(t)F(τ),
for alltandτ. Finally, if we differentiate both sides of the above with
respect totand then sett= 0, we arrive at
F′(τ) =−F′(0)F(τ),
which, after setting λ = F′(0), easily implies that F(t) = −e−λt for
allt≥0. Sincef is the derivative ofF, we conclude finally, that the
density function of the exponential distribution must have the form
f(t) = λe−λt, t≥ 0.
Very easy integrations show that
E(X) =
1
λ
and Var(X) =
1
λ^2
.
The exponential distribution is often used in reliability engineering
to describe units having a constant failure rate (i.e., age independent).
Other applications include
- modeling the time to failure of an item (like a light bulb; see
Exercise 2, below). The parameter λ is often called the failure
rate; - modeling the time to the next telephone call;
- distance between roadkill on a given highway;