Advanced High-School Mathematics

(Tina Meador) #1

360 CHAPTER 6 Inferential Statistics


F′(t+τ)F(t) =F(t+τ)F′(t).

But this can be written as


d
dt

lnF(t+τ) =
d
dt

lnF(t),

forcing


F(t+τ) =−F(t)F(τ),

for alltandτ. Finally, if we differentiate both sides of the above with
respect totand then sett= 0, we arrive at


F′(τ) =−F′(0)F(τ),

which, after setting λ = F′(0), easily implies that F(t) = −e−λt for
allt≥0. Sincef is the derivative ofF, we conclude finally, that the
density function of the exponential distribution must have the form


f(t) = λe−λt, t≥ 0.

Very easy integrations show that

E(X) =

1

λ

and Var(X) =

1

λ^2

.

The exponential distribution is often used in reliability engineering
to describe units having a constant failure rate (i.e., age independent).
Other applications include



  • modeling the time to failure of an item (like a light bulb; see
    Exercise 2, below). The parameter λ is often called the failure
    rate;

  • modeling the time to the next telephone call;

  • distance between roadkill on a given highway;

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