384 CHAPTER 6 Inferential Statistics
x−zα/ 2 √σ
n
,x+zα/ 2
σ
√
n
.
Furthermore, we expect that (1−α)×100 percent of the intervals so
constructed will contain the true population mean.
Note, finally, that as the confidence level rises, the width of the
confidence interval also increases. This is obvious for the wider the
interval, the more confident we should be that it will “capture” the
true population mean!
Exercises
- Suppose that we are going to sample the random variable X =
4 ×rand. Is this a normal random variable? What is the mean
and variance of X? Suppose that we instead sample X, where
X= 4×randandXis computed by taking 50 independent samples
and forming the average. IsXclose to being normally distributed?
To help in answering this question, write the simple TI code into
your calculator
PROGRAM: NORMCHECK
:{ 0 }→L 1
:For(I,1,100)
:4*rand(50)→L 2
:mean(L 2 )→L 1 (I)
:END
A moment’s thought reveals that this program collects 100 samples
of X, where each mean is computed from 50 samples each and
putting the result into list variableL 1. Finally draw a histograms
of these 100 samples of the mean; does it look normal? This
little experiment is tantamount to sending out 100 statisticians
and having each collecting 50 independent samples and computing
the mean. The statisticians all return to combine their results into
a single histogram.