in the case of gas), rather than from the conversion of carbon to CO 2 , which
provides 80% of the energy when coal is burned.
Recent data on CO 2 inputs to the atmosphere from fossil fuels and other
anthropogenic sources have been compiled by the United Nations in their Energy
Statistics Database. Earlier data have been obtained from a variety of sources but
are more uncertain than the numbers for recent years. The results are presented
in Figs 7.5–7.7. In Fig. 7.5 the yearly inputs show a general increase over the
period since 1751 when records first become available. The data are plotted on
a logarithmic CO 2 emission scale in Fig. 7.6, which shows that the increase has
not always been at the same rate. Although for the periods 1860–1910 and
1950–70 the growth rate was close to 4%, during the two world wars, in the great
industrial depression of the 1930s and since the 1970s the rate of increase has
been closer to 2%. The slackening of emissions in the last 25 years is due to large
increases in the price of oil at the beginning of the period, conservation measures
generally and economic retrenchment in the 1990s. Wars, like depressions, are
apparently times of reduced economic activity. In Fig. 7.7 the data are plotted by
latitude for 1980 and 1989, which clearly show how strongly emissions are skewed
towards the industrialized mid-latitudes of the northern hemisphere. Over
the 1980s there is a clear shift in emissions southwards, as industrialization has
become more global. In the last year for which full data are available (1991), emis-
sions from fossil fuel burning, etc. are estimated to be 6.2 GtC yr-^1 , with an uncer-
tainty of less than 10%. Average annual emissions over the 1980s were 5.4±
0.3 GtC yr-^1. Finally, in Fig. 7.8 the record of fossil fuel emissions and atmos-
pheric concentration increase at Mauna Loa from 1958 to 2000 is shown. This
illustrates the variability of the increase in atmospheric CO 2 year by year (dis-
cussed later), and also that only about half of the carbon emitted stays in the
atmosphere to produce the yearly increase (as mentioned previously).
250 Chapter Seven
Carbon (tonnes
×^10
6 )
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Year
Solids
Liquids
Gases
Flaring
Cement
Total
1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000
Fig. 7.5Global CO 2 emissions from fossil-fuel burning (solid, liquid and gaseous fuels),
cement production and gas flaring for 1751–1999. After Marland et al. (2002).