Aswath Damodaran 428
Gauging the tax effect by looking at Price Behavior on Ex-
Dividend Date
Let Pb= Price before the stock goes ex-dividend
Pa=Price after the stock goes ex-dividend
D = Dividends declared on stock
to, tcg = Taxes paid on ordinary income and capital gains respectively
$ Pb $Pa
______________|_______ E x - Dividend Day _ ______________|
Assume that we are looking at a market, where every investor in this stock
bought this stock 3 years ago (to allow it to qualify for capital gains) at a price
āPā.
Each investor is now assumed to face a decision of whether to sell before the ex-
dividend day and get Pb ((and give up the dividend) or sell after and get Pa and
receive the dividend.