Annex A – Project methodology
From these raw scenarios the seven that were most relevant to the strategic implications
project were further developed. The seven selected scenarios were brought to life in a
one-week workshop using a variety of creative methods, providing each scenario with a
narrative and an origin story. Figure A.8 gives an overview of the seven scenarios.
The seven scenarios span a broad future space and covered a whole range of possible
futures, from the perfect utopia to the disastrous dystopia. Four scenarios (highlighted in
colour in Figure A.8) were identified as being of most interest for military and future
warfighting aspects. Below is a short summary of each of the four scenarios we used in
the next step in the analysis – implications.
Figure A.8 – The seven scenarios
Scenario – From high hopes to great concerns
The promise of human augmentation to increase the quality of life was at first
accepted with great enthusiasm around the world. After a short time, however, human
augmentation technologies, although highly effective, were found to be unsafe or had
side effects or withdrawal symptoms – some of them serious. Companies still invested
in research and development of human augmentation technology but increasingly vocal
opposition groups started to raise their concerns about the technologies and their
practitioners. In the late 2030s the world divided. One part of the world, the West,
followed a path that prohibited all invasive human augmentation technologies. People
with existing human augmentation technologies were required to be registered by a
newly formed state agency, had a lower social status and could not run for public office.
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