TABLE 4-2: Forecast of Vehicle Characteristics: Baseline Scenario
—
2005 2015
Subcompact
Price Base^307872
FE (mpg) 33.5 37.2 41.3
Weight (lb) 2,315 2,410 2,360
HP^101108126
Intermediate
Price Base^492 1,044
FE 27.0 29.8 33.4
Weight (lb) 3,190 3,230 3,150
HP^151159169
Compact Van
Price Base^363804
FE 23.6 25.6 28.5
Weight (lb) 3,680 3,760 3,725
HP^153160172
Full-size pickup
Price Base^287866
FE 18.0 18.9 21.2
Weight (lb) 4,250 4,400 4,350
HP^193204209
KEY: FE= fuel economy; HP = horsepower.
NOTE: Price refers only to incremental price of fuel economy technology and performance but does
not reflect cost increases associated with safety and emission standards.
SOURCE: Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc.,“Automotive Technologies To Improve Fuel
Economy to 2015,” prepared for the Office of Technology Assessment, June 1995, p. 10-19.