Advanced Automotive Technology: Visions of a Super-Efficient Family Car

TABLE 4-5: Conventional Vehicle Potential^

Best-in-Class

1995

2005(m)

2005(0)

2015(m)

2015(m)

(diesel)

2015(0)

Baseline

FE

Price

FE

Price

FE

Price

FE

Price

FE

Price

FE

Price

Subcompact

Honda Civic

38.8

0

49.05

$800

54.84

$1,700

67.30

$2,150

74.94

$2,450

78.80

$4,850

Intermediate

Ford Taurus

28.0

0

39.0

$920

41.7

$2,100

53.2

$2,550

59.0

$2,870

63.5

$6,250

Compact van Standard Pickup

Dodge Caravan

23.3

0

32.3

$965

34.8

$2,330

45.0

$2,760

50.9

$3,070

51.4

$7,000

Ford F-150 4x2

19.1

0

33.5

$1,080

24.6

$2,500

31.6

$2,870

39.5

$3,630

37.7

$8,050

KEY: FE= fuel economy; m= median of technology estimates; o = optimistic technology estimate.

NOTE: Incremental prices do not include cost of emission and safety standards.

SOURCE: Energy and Environmental Analysis, Inc.,“Automotive Technologies To Improve Fuel
Economy to 2015,” prepared for the Office of Technology Assessment, June 1995, p. 10-30.