13 July 2019 | New Scientist | 7
IS THE much feared “big one”
about to strike? That question
is back in the minds of many in
California after the strongest
quakes for two decades struck
the state. But we don’t know if
these have made an even bigger
earthquake any more or less likely.
A magnitude 6.4 tremor struck
southern California on 4 July,
followed by a magnitude 7.1 quake
on 5 July, with hundreds of smaller
aftershocks in their wake. It was
fortunate that the epicentres were
under a sparsely populated region,
near the city of Ridgecrest.
No one was killed, but the
quakes were felt across the state.
They left a long crack in the desert
and damaged buildings and roads
in the area (pictured above).
The San Andreas fault runs the
length of California and lies near
major cities such as Los Angeles
and San Francisco. A major quake,
possibly of magnitude 8 or greater,
could occur on the fault at any
time, potentially killing thousands
of people and causing hundreds
of billions of dollars in damage.
However, the latest tremors
occurred on different faults far
from the San Andreas. Geologists
don’t know whether these latest
quakes have made a major
earthquake on the San Andreas
fault more likely or not.
There is no way to predict big
quakes hours or days in advance,
and some think it may never be
possible. Some regions have early
warning systems that issue alerts
as soon as the first tremors are
detected, giving people a few
seconds or more of warning
before the most dangerous
shaking starts. The US Geological
Survey is currently developing
such a “ShakeAlert” system for
the west coast.
Modern buildings in California
are designed to withstand sizeable
earthquakes, though many could
still be left unusable. However,
the state has many older buildings
that need retrofitting to be safe.
The vast Sacramento river delta
is also protected by embankments
that could fail in a big quake. If that
happened and seawater floods the
delta, it would cut off a lot of the
fresh water supply to southern
California for a year or more. ❚
Two large tremors just a day apart in California have got people
asking if there is a bigger quake coming, reports Michael Le Page
Artificial intelligence
Sheet of glass can
recognise numbers
IT IS the smartest piece of
glass in the world. A team at
the University of Wisconsin–
Madison has made an
artificially intelligent piece of
the stuff that can distinguish
images of numbers.
Bubbles and impurities in
the glass bend light waves
as they pass through it.
Depending on which of the
digits 0 to 9 is written on a
piece of paper held up to the
glass, the light waves are
brought to different focal
points, allowing the material
to identify digits (Photonics
Research, doi.org/c73h).
The glass AI could
eventually be used as a kind
of “biometric lock”, say the
researchers. ❚ Donna Lu
Global warming
Attenborough talks
up climate action
THE UK must take radical
steps to meet its climate
change targets, David
Attenborough told a UK
parliamentary committee
on Tuesday. But he warned
ministers must carry the
public with them because
of the cost of such action.
“We cannot be radical
enough in dealing with these
issues,” he said when asked
if the UK should bring
forward its target of cutting
greenhouse gas emissions
to net zero by 2050. But he
said the real issue was what
is politically possible. “The
question of how fast we can
go is how fast we can carry
the electorate with us.” ❚
Adam Vaughan
Earthquakes hit California
News
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