Mathematics and Economics

(Michael S) #1
Uncertainty and Probability Secretary Problem

Ambiguous Secretary Problem


Reduction to a Monotone Problem

Xn=YnminP P[Yn+1= 0,...,YN= 0]

=Yn

∏N


k=n+1

(1−bk)

payoffs a linear inYnand monotone inBn=

∏N


k=n+1(1−bk)
the worst–case measure assigns probabilityanto{Yn= 1}
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