Engineering Economic Analysis

(Chris Devlin) #1

220 RATEOF RETURNANALYSIS


PW of cost of differences=PW of benefits of differences


500 =25(P/A, i,12) +150(P/F, i,6) + 100(P/F, i, 12)

The sum of the benefits over the 12 years is $550, which is only a little greater than the $500


additional cost. This indicates that the rate of return is quite low. Tryi= 1%.

500 ~ 25(11.255) + 150(0.942) + 100(0.887)

~ 281 + 141 + 89 =511

The interest rate is too low. Tryi=11/2%:


500 '!/::25(10.908) + 150(0.914) + 100(0.836)
'!/::273 + 137 + 84 = 494

The internal rate of return on theY- X increment,IRRy-X, is about 1.3%, far below the 19%
minimum attractive rate of return. The additional investment to obtain MachineYyields an...
" unsatisfactory rate of return, therefore X is the preferred alternative.

Spreadsheets and Incremental Analysis

The spreadsheet functions covered in earlier chapters are particularly useful in caIculatiDg
internal rates of returns (IRRs). If a cash flow diagram can be reduced to at most"oneP,
oneA,and/or oneF,then the RATEinvestmentfunctioncan be used. Otherwise the IRR
blockfunctionis used with a cash flow in each period..
The Excel investmentfunction isRATE(n,A,P ,F,type,guess).TheA, P,andFcannot
all be the same sign. TheF,type, and guess are optional arguments. The "type" is end or
beginning of period cash flows (forA,but notF),and the "guess" is the starting value in
the search for the IRR..
ConsideringExample 7-1, whereP= -8200, A= 2000,andn= 5, the RATEfunction
would be:

RATE(5,2000,-8200)


which gives an answer of 7.00%, which matches that found in Example 7-1.
For Example 7-2, whereP = -700, A = 100, G = 75, andn = 4, the RATE
function cannot be used, since it has no provisions for the arithmetic gradient, G. Suppose
the years (row 1) and the cash flows (row 2) are specified in columns B through E. The
internal rate of retum calculated using IRR(B2:F2) is 6.91%.
A B C D E F
1
2

Figure 7-6 illustrates using a spreadsheet to graph the present worth of a cash flow series
versus the interest rate. The interest rate with present worth equal to 0 is the IRR. The

Year^01234
Cash flow -700 100 175 250 325
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