Mathematical Modeling in Finance with Stochastic Processes

(Ben Green) #1

172 CHAPTER 5. BROWNIAN MOTION


be a sequence of independent, identically distributed Bernoulli random vari-
ables. Note that Var [Yi] = 1, which we will need to use in a moment. Let
Y 0 = 0 for convenience and set


Tn=

∑n

i=0

Yi

be the sequence of sums, which represent the successive net fortunes of our
notorious gambler. As usual, we will sketch the graph ofTnversus time using
linear interpolation between the points (n− 1 ,Tn− 1 ) and (n,Tn) to obtain
a continuous, piecewise linear function. Since this interpolation defines a
function for all time, we could writeWˆ(t), and then for instance,Wˆ(n) =Tn.
NowWˆ(t) is a function defined on [0,∞). This function is piecewise linear
with segments of length




  1. The notationWˆ(t) reminds us of the piecewise
    linear nature of the function.
    Now we will compress time, and rescale the space in a special way. Let
    Nbe a large integer, and consider the rescaled function


WˆN(t) =

(


1



N


)


Wˆ(Nt).

This has the effect of taking a step of size± 1 /



N in 1/Ntime unit. That
is,


WˆN(1/N) =

(


1



N


)


Wˆ(N· 1 /N) =√T^1


N


=


Y 1



N


.


Now consider
WˆN(1) =

Wˆ(N)



N


=


TN



N


.


According to the Central Limit Theorem, this quantity is approximately
normally distributed, with mean zero, and variance 1. More generally,


WˆN(t) =

Wˆ(Nt)

N

=



t

Wˆ(Nt)

Nt

IfNtis an integer, this will be normally distributed with mean 0 and vari-
ancet. Furthermore,WˆN(0) = 0 andWˆN(t) is a continuous function, and
so is continuous at 0. Altogether, this should be a strong suggestion that
WˆN(t) is an approximation to Standard Brownian Motion. We will define
the very jagged piecewise linear functionWˆN(t) asapproximate Brownian
Motion.

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