then makes a final summary risk rating of low, moder-
ate, or high risk for violencedepending on the number
of risk factors present; their relevance to the individual
case; and the degree of intervention, supervision, or risk
management that is estimated to be necessary to miti-
gate risk. The HCR–20, like other SPJ instruments, pro-
vides a greater emphasis on risk management and risk
reduction than do some actuarial approaches. It does
this through the inclusion of dynamic,or changeable,
risk factors (the C- and R-scale risk factors) and the rec-
ommendation that these be reevaluated at important
decision-making junctures or according to some regu-
lar schedule.
Precise numeric algorithms or cut scores are not
used for clinical decision making as they are in actu-
arial prediction methods because of the high likeli-
hood of instability of such algorithms across settings
and samples due to idiosyncracies (i.e., capitalization
on chance associations) in their derivation.
User qualifications include expertise in violence
and in mental health assessment. Common user groups
include psychologists, psychiatrists, social workers,
psychiatric nurses, and professionals in related fields.
Some items (mental illness) may require users to pos-
sess advanced degrees (Ph.D. or M.D.), although other
users can rate these under supervision or provisionally.
Evaluation Studies
Evaluation research primarily has focused on ques-
tions of interrater reliability and predictive validity of
either the HCR–20 risk factors (numeric scores) or
summary risk judgments. Studies of the risk factors
and numeric scores are important to determine
whether these can be rated reliably and whether, as
they are defined by the HCR–20, they relate to vio-
lence. Studies of the summary risk judgments are
important to test whether raters, on considering the
HCR–20 risk factors and structured decision-making
principles, are able to make reliable risk-relevant
judgments that also are predictive of violence.
There have been several dozen peer-reviewed pub-
lished evaluation studies on the HCR–20. These have
been conducted across numerous countries (Canada,
the United States, Sweden, the United Kingdom,
Germany, the Netherlands) and settings (forensic psy-
chiatric, civil psychiatric, prison). Although there is
the expected variability in the findings, most research
demonstrates acceptable interrater reliability of both
the risk factors and the final summary risk judgment.
Similarly, on average, the HCR–20 demonstrates
moderate to large effect sizes with violence. Studies
have shown that the HCR–20 summary risk ratings of
low, moderate, and high risk perform as well as, or
better than, numerical (actuarial) use of the HCR–20.
The HCR–20 has been translated into 15 lan-
guages. It currently is on Version 2, and Version 3 will
be published in 2008 or 2009.
Kevin S. Douglas
See also Risk Assessment Approaches; Violence Risk
Assessment
Further Readings
Douglas, K. S., & Kropp, P. R. (2002). A prevention-based
paradigm for violence risk assessment: Clinical and
research applications. Criminal Justice and Behavior, 29,
617–658.
Douglas, K. S., Ogloff, J. R. P., Nicholls, T. L., & Grant, I.
(1999). Assessing risk for violence among psychiatric
patients: The HCR–20 violence risk assessment scheme
and the Psychopathy Checklist: Screening Version. Journal
of Consulting and Clinical Psychology, 67,917–930.
Douglas, K. S., Webster, C. D., Hart, S. D., Eaves, D., &
Ogloff, J. R. P. (Eds.). (2001). HCR–20: Violence
risk management companion guide. Burnaby, BC,
Canada: Mental Health, Law, and Policy Institute, Simon
Fraser University and Department of Mental Health Law
& Policy, University of South Florida.
Doyle, M., & Dolan, M. (2006). Predicting community
violence from patients discharged from mental health
services. British Journal of Psychiatry, 189,520–526.
Webster, C. D., Douglas, K. S., Eaves, D., & Hart, S. D.
(1997). HCR–20: Assessing risk for violence(Version 2).
Burnaby, BC, Canada: Mental Health, Law, and Policy
Institute, Simon Fraser University.
HEARSAYTESTIMONY
The rules of evidence regarding the admissibility of
hearsay testimony are complex, but in general, the law
treats hearsay as inadmissible evidence. A number of
exceptions to this general rule exist, however, and psy-
chologists have conducted research to examine how
jurors evaluate and use hearsay testimony in their deci-
sion making. No simple conclusions can be drawn at
this point from the research literature owing to the large
354 ———Hearsay Testimony
H-Cutler (Encyc)-45463.qxd 11/18/2007 12:43 PM Page 354