equivalence between large and small juries, but it now
held that juries smaller than 6 were unconstitutional
because, in Justice Blackmun’s opinion, the studies
raised serious concerns about the performance of
juries of fewer than 6 members.
The research findings have been recognized in
other legal settings. The Standing Committee on
Federal Civil Rules recommended 12-person juries
for federal civil trials (a recommendation not adopted
by the Judicial Conference). During the administra-
tion of President Reagan, the Department of Health
and Human Services promulgated a model medical
malpractice statute for the states that specified
12-person juries (specifically for their greater pre-
dictability). And the New Hampshire Supreme Court—
citing the factual findings of Ballewbut rejecting its
legal holding—ruled that a reduction in jury size below
12 would violate the New Hampshire State Constitution
(which similarly did not specify a jury size).
Social Decision Rule
From the 14th century in England until the latter part
of the 20th century, juries had been required to reach
unanimous verdicts. Several American states began to
permit quorum verdicts, and in the 1970s, challenges
to the constitutionality of quorum verdicts came
before the U.S. Supreme Court.
The principal motivation for eliminating the una-
nimity rule seems to have been a desire to reduce the
incidence of hung juries. Without quorum verdicts,
hung juries occur at a national rate of about 5% or 6%,
and allowing quorum verdicts reduces that rate by a
few percentage points.
In Apodaca v. Oregon (1972) and Johnson v.
Louisiana(1972), the Supreme Court held verdicts
split as widely as 9:3 to be constitutional, and in
Burch v. Louisiana(1979), the Court held that the
verdicts of 6-person juries had to be unanimous. The
Court’s reasoning was much the same as in the jury-
size cases: As to the social decision rule for a jury
verdict, the Constitution does not say and the inten-
tions of the framers are unknown, so the “inquiry
must focus upon the function served by the jury in
contemporary society.”
The main issues about group behavior that were
debated in the Court’s functional analysis were
whether juries required to reach only quorum deci-
sions would pay less attention to the arguments of the
unneeded minority, whether the jury’s verdicts would
be less accurate, and whether the weight of evidence
sufficient to produce a conviction would be reduced.
The last of those questions is an especially interesting
one. The standard or proof (preponderance, beyond a
reasonable doubt) is directed at individual jurors,
seemingly separate from the issue of the rules for com-
bining individual views into a group decision. But the
two together will surely have a bearing on the group’s
collective confidence in their verdict and on the quan-
tum of proof needed to lift the jury over those several
individual-to-group decision thresholds to a verdict.
The Supreme Court’s opinions assert that jurors
will not behave differently when a nonunanimous
decision rule is in place—at least not when the jury
numbers 12—or not differently enough to matter. Less
research has been done on social decision rules than
on group sizes, but what research has been conducted
does not generally support the Court’s majority.
Compared with unanimous rule juries, juries oper-
ating under a nonunanimous decision rule deliberate
for a shorter time, do not let dissenters have sufficient
say so as to change the minimum consensus once it is
achieved (while in unanimous rule juries, jurors in the
minority participate disproportionately in the deliber-
ation), are more vote oriented and less evidence ori-
ented, are less certain of the defendant’s guilt when
convicting, and are less likely to end in a deadlock. In
research on group decision making generally, groups
required to reach unanimous decisions are found to be
more likely to reach correct solutions (on problems
with clear right/wrong answers) than groups working
with less-demanding social decision rules.
Notwithstanding the Supreme Court’s rulings per-
mitting nonunanimous verdicts under the federal
Constitution, the great majority of states continue to
require unanimous verdicts in felony trials, and all do
in capital murder trials.
Michael J. Saks
See alsoJury Deliberation; Jury Reforms; U.S. Supreme
Court
Further Readings
Apodaca v. Oregon, 406 U.S. 404 (1972).
Arnold, R. S. (1993). Trial by jury: The constitutional right to a
jury of twelve in civil trials. Hofstra Law Review, 22,1–35.
Ballew v. Georgia, 435 U.S. 223 (1978).
Burch v. Louisiana, 441 U.S. 130 (1979).
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