untitled

(Brent) #1
The stable age distribution for the loggerhead turtle can be readily calculated from the right eigen-
vector of the transition matrix A, where 0.947 is the dominant eigenvalue of A:
Wraw=eigenvec(A, 0.947)

In order to make these values easier to interpret, we convert them to the proportion in each age group,
by dividing each element by the sum of all of the elements:

This yields the following stable age distribution:

In other words, after the loggerhead turtle model has proceeded for a number of years, we would
expect to see 21% of the population being composed of eggs or hatchlings, 67% juveniles, and the
rest (12%) subadults and adults.
In the case of the loggerhead sea turtle, the vector Vdepicting stage-specific reproductive value is
as follows:

We can doublecheck to verify that this is indeed the left eigenvector by performing the two different
multiplications alluded to in the text:
VT=(1 1.4 6 116 569 507 588)
VT·A =(0.95 1.33 5.71 109.74 537.16 479.69 555.69)
λ·VT=(0.95 1.33 5.68 109.85 538.84 480.13 556.84)
With these values we can estimate elasticities for every parameter in the transition matrix:

S

...
...
...
...
.
.
..

=

⎛ ×


⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜

⎜⎜



⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟

0 0 0 0 0 01 3 27 10 − 0 04 1
005 018 0 0 0 0 0 037
00050120 0 0 0025
0 0 0 05 0 14 0 0 0 0 09
0000050 0 00
0000004 0 00
00000 004 0230

4

⎟⎟⎟

S
AVW
ij VW
=⋅ij i⋅ j


⎝⎜


λ ⎠⎟

V =



⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜



⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟
.

1
14
6
116
569
507
588

W

.......


= ×
×
×
×



⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜



⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟




021
067
011
673 10
369 10
316 10
185 10

3
4
4
3

W W
W

=

raw
rawj
i

Wraw

.......


= ×
×
×
×



⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜ ⎜



⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟ ⎟




029
094
016
948 10
521 10
445 10
262 10

3
4
4
3

Box 14.3Calculation
of elasticities of the
Lefkovitch matrix for
the loggerhead sea turtle
(based on data from
Crouse et al.1987).

Free download pdf